Italy: Serie D Girone A Kick-off

Derthona vs Fezzanese prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 1.72 – 0.83
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Medium
Best tipDerthona or draw81% chance · @1.20
Goals2.5 expectedOver 2.5 47% · BTTS 56%
1 · Derthona1.7260% chanceX · Draw3.4521% chance2 · Fezzanese4.1519% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 14 Nov 2026, 10:57 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Derthona or draw

Very strong · fair odds 1.24

81%chance1.20odds9/10rating
Value

Both teams to score @ 2.01 – our chance 56% vs 50% in the price (edge +12%)

Tips by market

ResultDerthona to win60% · @1.72
Double chanceDerthona or draw81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @2.01
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75%
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%

Derthona vs Fezzanese prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Derthona v Fezzanese, Serie D Girone A – Sunday 15 November, 14:30 WAT. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. Derthona come in 4th with 19 points and Fezzanese 15th with 11 – one in the top four, the other in the bottom half.

Current form

Derthona – last 5: WWDDL Latest result: they beat Gozzano 2–1 (away). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.

Fezzanese – last 5: DLWLL Latest result: they drew with Borgosesia 1–1 (home). A thin 0.5 goals per game – the goals have dried up.

Form edge: Derthona, with 1.3 points per game to 0.7.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Derthona 1.7 – 0.8 Fezzanese, about 2.5 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 47%, GG 56%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Derthona 60%, draw 21%, Fezzanese 19%.
  • Double chance option: Derthona or draw – 81% at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: yes – 56% at 2.01.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.01 – our chance 56%, the price implies 50%.

Kings Odds tip

Our pick: Derthona or draw (81% chance, priced 1.20). Predicted score: Derthona 1–0 Fezzanese. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Derthona60%fair 1.67 · @1.72
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.45
Fezzanese19%fair 5.20 · @4.15
2.54Expected goals
1.72Derthona xG
0.83Fezzanese xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Derthona 1.7 – 0.8 Fezzanese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDerthona to win60%1.671.72
Double chanceDerthona or draw81%1.241.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.792.01 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.39–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.871.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.34–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Derthona / FT Derthona36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.45–

Recent results

Derthona – last 6

WWDDLL
8 Nov@ Gozzano2–1W
1 Novvs Lascaris4–3W
25 Oct@ Bra0–0D
18 Octvs Asti1–1D
11 Oct@ Chisola2–4L
4 Octvs Alessandria1–3L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Fezzanese – last 6

DLWLLL
7 Novvs Borgosesia1–1D
1 Novvs Asti0–2L
25 Oct@ Lascaris1–0W
18 Octvs Millesimo0–4L
11 Oct@ Alessandria0–2L
4 Octvs Valenzana1–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Derthona and Fezzanese.

Derthona vs Fezzanese head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alessandria111001+1230
2Chisola11632+1221
3Biellese11632+1021
4Derthona11542+119
5Ligorna11533+518
6Millesimo11524+617
7Sanremese11452+417
8Saluzzo11362+115
9Imperia11434+115
10Asti11425-214
11Gozzano11425-414
12Sestri Levante11344-213
13Borgosesia11344-213
14Lascaris11335-512
15Fezzanese11326-711
16Bra11245-710
17Valenzana11137-86
18Celle Varazze11119-154

More Serie D Girone A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Derthona vs Fezzanese?

Our tip is Derthona or draw (81% chance), priced at 1.20.

Who will win Derthona vs Fezzanese?

Derthona win 60% of the time on our model, the draw 21%, Fezzanese 19%.

How many goals will there be in Derthona vs Fezzanese?

Around 2.5 goals on our projection – 47% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Derthona vs Fezzanese?

Kings Odds predicts Derthona 1–0 Fezzanese. Total goals projected: 2.5.

When is Derthona vs Fezzanese?

Derthona vs Fezzanese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.