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Argentina: Torneo Federal A· Estadio Jose Maria Minella Kick-off

Alvarado vs Sarmiento de La Banda prediction

AlvaradoLLWDL
Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 1.70 – 0.50
Sarmiento de La BandaWLWDD
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Large
Best tipUnder 3.5 goals80% chance · @1.20
Goals2.2 expectedOver 2.5 40% · BTTS 48%
1 · Alvarado1.5066% chanceX · Draw3.4025% chance2 · Sarmiento de La Banda6.009% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 14 Nov 2026, 11:59 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong · fair odds 1.25

80%chance1.20odds9/10rating

Tips by market

ResultAlvarado to win66% · @1.50
Double chanceAlvarado or draw91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–019%

Alvarado vs Sarmiento de La Banda prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

The Torneo Federal A brings Sarmiento de La Banda to Alvarado on Sunday 15 November – Estadio Jose Maria Minella hosts, kick-off 20:00 WAT. Table check: Alvarado are 5th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top half), Sarmiento de La Banda 13th on 25 (in the top half). A gap of just 2 points – three points here could swing the table.

Current form

Alvarado – last 5: LLWDL Latest result: they fell to Sarmiento de La Banda 0–1 (away). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. A thin 0.7 goals per game – the goals have dried up. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Sarmiento de La Banda – last 5: WLWDD Latest result: they beat Alvarado 1–0 (home). 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Head to head

Previous meeting (8 Nov 2026): Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Alvarado.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Alvarado 1.7 – 0.5 Sarmiento de La Banda, about 2.2 in total. This shapes up as a tight one – under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Alvarado 66%, draw 25%, Sarmiento de La Banda 9%.
  • GG/NG: no – 52% at 1.57.

Kings Odds tip

Ade Ola's call: Under 3.5 goals (80% chance, priced 1.20). Predicted score: Alvarado 1–0 Sarmiento de La Banda. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Alvarado66%fair 1.52 · @1.50
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.40
Sarmiento de La Banda9%fair 11.13 · @6.00
2.19Expected goals
1.70Alvarado xG
0.50Sarmiento de La Banda xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–016%
0–011%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Alvarado 1.7 – 0.5 Sarmiento de La Banda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlvarado to win66%1.521.50
Double chanceAlvarado or draw91%1.101.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.941.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals65%1.531.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals60%1.661.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals80%1.251.20
Half-time resultAlvarado ahead at half-time45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alvarado / FT Alvarado42%2.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–019%5.28–

Recent results

Alvarado – last 6

LLWDLW
8 Nov@ Sarmiento de La Banda0–1L
1 Novvs Sportivo Las Parejas1–2L
25 Oct@ Sportivo Las Parejas1–0W
18 Octvs Cipolletti0–0D
11 Oct@ Cipolletti0–1L
4 Octvs Defensores de Belgrano VR2–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sarmiento de La Banda – last 6

WLWDDL
8 Novvs Alvarado1–0W
1 Nov@ Atenas2–4L
25 Octvs Atenas3–0W
18 Octvs Sportivo Belgrano0–0D
11 Oct@ Sportivo Belgrano1–1D
20 Sepvs Defensores de Belgrano VR0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Nov 2026Sarmiento de La Banda v Alvarado1–0
Alvarado vs Sarmiento de La Banda head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

League hub
CipollettivJuventud Antoniana Large Home 1–0 U3.5@1.20 1.623.405.00
Gimnasia ChivilcoyvDouglas Haig Small Home 1–0 U3.5@1.20 2.153.103.40
Olimpo Bahia BlancavKimberley Mar del Plata Small Home 1–0 U2.5@1.44 2.102.803.50

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alvarado vs Sarmiento de La Banda?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (80% chance), priced at 1.20.

Who will win Alvarado vs Sarmiento de La Banda?

Alvarado win 66% of the time on our model, the draw 25%, Sarmiento de La Banda 9%.

How many goals will there be in Alvarado vs Sarmiento de La Banda?

Around 2.2 goals on our projection – 40% for over 2.5 and 48% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Alvarado vs Sarmiento de La Banda?

Kings Odds predicts Alvarado 1–0 Sarmiento de La Banda. Total goals projected: 2.2.

When is Alvarado vs Sarmiento de La Banda?

Alvarado vs Sarmiento de La Banda (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Maria Minella.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.