♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 14 Nov 2026, 09:15 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Strong · fair odds 1.30
77%chance1.25odds8/10rating
Value
Liverpool Montevideo to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% in the price (edge +8%)
Tips by market
ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%
Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
Fixture: Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo. Competition: Primera División Apertura. Kick-off: Sunday 15 November, 20:30 WAT. Ground: Gardens of the Hippodrome. Table check: Danubio are 14th with 10 points from 13 games (in the relegation places), Liverpool Montevideo 1st on 30 (top of the pile). A 20-point gap separates them – two very different seasons.
Current form
Danubio – last 5: LWLWW Latest result: they fell to Club Nacional 1–2 (home). They are scoring 2.0 per game, which defences will respect. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.
Liverpool Montevideo – last 5: DWWWW Latest result: they drew with Juventud 1–1 (home). 1.3 scored and 0.2 conceded per game. 5 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.
Form edge: Liverpool Montevideo, with 2.7 points per game to 1.5.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Danubio 0.8 – 1.6 Liverpool Montevideo, about 2.3 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 43%, GG 51%.
Markets to consider
1X2 chances: Danubio 21%, draw 20%, Liverpool Montevideo 60%.
GG/NG: yes – 51% at 1.91.
Value angle: Liverpool Montevideo to win at 1.80 – our chance 60%, the price implies 56%.
Kings Odds tip
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals (77% chance, priced 1.25). Predicted score: Danubio 0–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Danubio21%fair 4.87 · @3.80
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.30
Liverpool Montevideo60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
2.35Expected goals
0.76Danubio xG
1.59Liverpool Montevideo xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–212%
1–112%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Danubio 0.8 – 1.6 Liverpool Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.25
1.33 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.98
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Danubio – last 6
LWLWWL
1 Nov
vs Club Nacional
1–2
L
30 Oct
@ Wanderers Durazno
3–0
W
24 Oct
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Central Espanol
1–0
W
15 Oct
@ Central Espanol
6–0
W
9 Oct
@ Atletico Torque
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Liverpool Montevideo – last 6
DWWWWW
11 Nov
vs Juventud
1–1
D
5 Nov
@ Gladiador
2–0
W
3 Nov
vs Juventud
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Club Nacional
1–0
W
21 Oct
vs Cerro Largo
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Penarol
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Danubio and Liverpool Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (77% chance), priced at 1.25.
Who will win Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Danubio win 21% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Liverpool Montevideo 60%.
How many goals will there be in Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Around 2.3 goals on our projection – 43% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Kings Odds predicts Danubio 0–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Total goals projected: 2.3.
When is Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Gardens of the Hippodrome.
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
