Tunisia: Ligue 2 Kick-off

Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia prediction

Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG 1.55 – 0.65
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Medium
Best tipUnder 2.5 goals62% chance · @1.47
Goals2.2 expectedOver 2.5 38% · BTTS 46%
1 · Sfax Railways1.6159% chanceX · Draw3.2426% chance2 · EM Mahdia5.2015% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 14 Nov 2026, 11:53 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 2.5 goals

Good · fair odds 1.60

62%chance1.47odds5/10rating

Tips by market

ResultSfax Railways to win59% · @1.61
Double chanceSfax Railways or draw85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.51
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017%

Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

EM Mahdia are on the road in the Ligue 2 on Saturday 14 November, visiting Sfax Railways at 14:30 WAT. Table check: Sfax Railways are 18th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), EM Mahdia 2nd on 17 (in the top four).

Current form

Sfax Railways – last 5: DLDDD Latest result: they drew with Sporting Ben Arous 0–0 (home). Home form in that spell: 0 wins, 0 defeats in 3. A thin 0.7 goals per game – the goals have dried up. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

EM Mahdia – last 5: WWDDW Latest result: they beat BS Bouhajla 2–0 (away). Away form in that spell: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. 2.0 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now.

Form edge: EM Mahdia, with 2.3 points per game to 1.2.

Head to head

Previous meeting (29 Mar 2026): EM Mahdia 0–0 Sfax Railways.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Sfax Railways 1.6 – 0.6 EM Mahdia, about 2.2 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 38%, GG 46%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Sfax Railways 59%, draw 26%, EM Mahdia 15%.
  • GG/NG: no – 54% at 1.51.

Kings Odds tip

Our pick: Under 2.5 goals (62% chance, priced 1.47). Predicted score: Sfax Railways 1–0 EM Mahdia. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Sfax Railways59%fair 1.69 · @1.61
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.24
EM Mahdia15%fair 6.64 · @5.20
2.20Expected goals
1.55Sfax Railways xG
0.65EM Mahdia xG
46%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Sfax Railways 1.6 – 0.6 EM Mahdia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSfax Railways to win59%1.691.61
Double chanceSfax Railways or draw85%1.181.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score54%1.861.51
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals64%1.571.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals62%1.601.47
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals82%1.221.11
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sfax Railways / FT Sfax Railways36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017%5.81–

Recent results

Sfax Railways – last 6

DLDDDW
31 Octvs Sporting Ben Arous0–0D
26 Oct@ Stade Soussien0–1L
18 Octvs AS Soliman2–2D
10 Oct@ Béni-Khalled0–0D
3 Octvs AS Gabes0–0D
26 Sep@ CS Chebba2–1W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

EM Mahdia – last 6

WWDDWW
31 Oct@ BS Bouhajla2–0W
26 Octvs US Tataouine3–2W
18 Oct@ AS Agareb1–1D
10 Octvs M'saken2–2D
3 Octvs Kerkennah2–1W
26 Sep@ Sporting Ben Arous2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026EM Mahdia v Sfax Railways0–0
Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia head-to-head page →

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Kasserine7601+718
2EM Mahdia7520+717
3Ksour Essef6420+614
4M'saken7421+514
5CS Chebba7412+113
6Bouchamma7412-213
7AS Soliman7331+512
8Korba7331+412
9Jendouba Sport7331+212
10Mégrine7322+111
11JS Kairouanaise7322+111
12US Tataouine7322-111
13Kalaâ Sport7313+110
14Stade Soussien7313+110
15Sporting Ben Arous7232+29
16Ariana722308
17Stade Gabesien715108
18Sfax Railways715108
19EGS Gafsa7214-27
20AS Agareb7142-37
21Redeyef6204+26
22Kerkennah7133-26
23Olympique du Kef7124-35
24Béni-Khalled7124-45
25CO Medenine7124-75
26BS Bouhajla7124-75
27AS Gabes7025-52
28Moknine7025-92

More Ligue 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia?

Our tip is Under 2.5 goals (62% chance), priced at 1.47.

Who will win Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia?

Sfax Railways win 59% of the time on our model, the draw 26%, EM Mahdia 15%.

How many goals will there be in Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia?

Around 2.2 goals on our projection – 38% for over 2.5 and 46% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia?

Kings Odds predicts Sfax Railways 1–0 EM Mahdia. Total goals projected: 2.2.

When is Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia?

Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.