Tunisia: Ligue 2 Kick-off

Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 1.02 – 0.83
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Small
Best tipUnder 2.5 goals69% chance · @1.37
Goals1.9 expectedOver 2.5 31% · BTTS 48%
1 · Ksour Essef2.2243% chanceX · Draw2.8023% chance2 · Stade Gabesien3.1833% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 14 Nov 2026, 11:19 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 2.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.45

69%chance1.37odds7/10rating

Tips by market

ResultKsour Essef to win43% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals69% · @1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016%

Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Stade Gabesien are on the road in the Ligue 2 on Sunday 15 November, visiting Ksour Essef at 14:30 WAT. Ksour Essef come in 3rd with 14 points and Stade Gabesien 17th with 8 – one in the top four, the other in the bottom half.

Current form

Ksour Essef – last 5: WWDWW Latest result: they beat Bouchamma 3–0 (home). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded per game. 5 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Stade Gabesien – last 5: DDWLD Latest result: they drew with Jendouba Sport 0–0 (away). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 1 defeat in 3. A thin 0.8 goals per game – the goals have dried up. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Form edge: Ksour Essef, with 2.3 points per game to 1.2.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Ksour Essef 1.0 – 0.8 Stade Gabesien, about 1.9 in total. This shapes up as a tight one – under 2.5 at 69%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Ksour Essef 43%, draw 23%, Stade Gabesien 33%.
  • GG/NG: no – 52% at 1.55.

Kings Odds tip

Our pick: Under 2.5 goals (69% chance, priced 1.37). Predicted score: Ksour Essef 1–0 Stade Gabesien. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Ksour Essef43%fair 2.31 · @2.22
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @2.80
Stade Gabesien33%fair 3.00 · @3.18
1.85Expected goals
1.02Ksour Essef xG
0.83Stade Gabesien xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Ksour Essef 1.0 – 0.8 Stade Gabesien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKsour Essef to win43%2.312.22
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.301.31
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.931.55
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals57%1.751.55
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals69%1.451.37
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals86%1.161.08
Half-time resultLevel at half-time52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw24%4.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016%6.25–

Recent results

Ksour Essef – last 6

WWDWWD
1 Novvs Bouchamma3–0W
27 Oct@ Moknine2–1W
19 Octvs Ariana0–0D
11 Oct@ JS Kairouanaise1–0W
4 Octvs CO Medenine1–0W
27 Sep@ Olympique du Kef0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Stade Gabesien – last 6

DDWLDD
1 Nov@ Jendouba Sport0–0D
27 Octvs Korba2–2D
19 Octvs Redeyef1–0W
11 Oct@ Bouchamma1–2L
4 Octvs Moknine0–0D
27 Sep@ Ariana1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ksour Essef and Stade Gabesien.

Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien head-to-head page →

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Kasserine7601+718
2EM Mahdia7520+717
3Ksour Essef6420+614
4M'saken7421+514
5CS Chebba7412+113
6Bouchamma7412-213
7AS Soliman7331+512
8Korba7331+412
9Jendouba Sport7331+212
10Mégrine7322+111
11JS Kairouanaise7322+111
12US Tataouine7322-111
13Kalaâ Sport7313+110
14Stade Soussien7313+110
15Sporting Ben Arous7232+29
16Ariana722308
17Stade Gabesien715108
18Sfax Railways715108
19EGS Gafsa7214-27
20AS Agareb7142-37
21Redeyef6204+26
22Kerkennah7133-26
23Olympique du Kef7124-35
24Béni-Khalled7124-45
25CO Medenine7124-75
26BS Bouhajla7124-75
27AS Gabes7025-52
28Moknine7025-92

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien?

Our tip is Under 2.5 goals (69% chance), priced at 1.37.

Who will win Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien?

Ksour Essef win 43% of the time on our model, the draw 23%, Stade Gabesien 33%.

How many goals will there be in Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien?

Around 1.9 goals on our projection – 31% for over 2.5 and 48% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien?

Kings Odds predicts Ksour Essef 1–0 Stade Gabesien. Total goals projected: 1.9.

When is Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien?

Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.