Africa: Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification· Nyayo National Stadium Kick-off

Kenya vs South Africa prediction

KenyaDLDWD
Tue 17 Nov 2026 xG 0.79 – 1.60
Kings Odds predictionAway 0–1Medium
Best tipOver 1.5 goals66% chance · @1.46
Goals2.4 expectedOver 2.5 40% · BTTS 44%
1 · Kenya4.7022% chanceX · Draw3.2417% chance2 · South Africa1.7761% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 07:35 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Over 1.5 goals

Good · fair odds 1.53

66%chance1.46odds6/10rating
Value

South Africa to win @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% in the price (edge +7%)

Tips by market

ResultSouth Africa to win61% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win83% · @1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115%

Kenya vs South Africa prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Kenya v South Africa, Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification – Tuesday 17 November, 17:00 WAT at Nyayo National Stadium. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. Kenya come in 3rd with 6 points and South Africa 1st with 14.

Current form

Kenya – last 5: DLDWD Latest result: they drew with South Africa 2–2 (away). 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

South Africa – last 5: DWWWL Latest result: they drew with Kenya 2–2 (home). 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded per game. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Form edge: South Africa, with 2.2 points per game to 1.5.

Head to head

Previous meeting (13 Nov 2026): South Africa 2–2 Kenya.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Kenya 0.8 – 1.6 South Africa, about 2.4 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 40%, GG 44%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Kenya 22%, draw 17%, South Africa 61%.
  • GG/NG: no – 56% at 1.55.
  • Value angle: South Africa to win at 1.77 – our chance 61%, the price implies 56%.

Kings Odds tip

Kings Odds tip: Over 1.5 goals (66% chance, priced 1.46). Predicted score: Kenya 0–2 South Africa. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Kenya22%fair 4.44 · @4.70
Draw17%fair 5.91 · @3.24
South Africa61%fair 1.65 · @1.77
2.40Expected goals
0.79Kenya xG
1.60South Africa xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–212%
1–112%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%

From our goals model: Kenya 0.8 – 1.6 South Africa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouth Africa to win61%1.651.77 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win83%1.201.29 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score56%1.781.55
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals66%1.531.46
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals60%1.661.47
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals80%1.251.11
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Africa / FT South Africa34%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115%6.85–

Recent results

Kenya – last 6

DLDWDW
13 Nov@ South Africa2–2D
1 Oct@ Guinea0–1L
26 Sepvs Eritrea1–1D
7 Junvs Lesotho4–0W
4 Jun@ Lesotho1–1D
30 Mar@ Grenada3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

South Africa – last 6

DWWWLW
13 Novvs Kenya2–2D
4 Oct@ Egypt1–0W
30 Sep@ Eritrea5–0W
26 Sepvs Guinea2–1W
28 Junvs Canada0–1L
25 Junvs South Korea1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Nov 2026South Africa v Kenya2–2
Kenya vs South Africa head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cameroon6420+614
2Zimbabwe6231+29
3Kenya6132-36
4Namibia6024-52

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kenya vs South Africa?

Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (66% chance), priced at 1.46.

Who will win Kenya vs South Africa?

Kenya win 22% of the time on our model, the draw 17%, South Africa 61%.

How many goals will there be in Kenya vs South Africa?

Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 40% for over 2.5 and 44% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Kenya vs South Africa?

Kings Odds predicts Kenya 0–2 South Africa. Total goals projected: 2.4.

When is Kenya vs South Africa?

Kenya vs South Africa (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nyayo National Stadium.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.