♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 04:12 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Over 1.5 goals
Strong · fair odds 1.33
75%chance1.25odds8/10rating
Value
Chaves to win @ 3.46 – our chance 33% vs 29% in the price (edge +16%)
Tips by market
ResultLeixoes to win46% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%
Leixoes vs Chaves prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
The Segunda Liga brings Chaves to Leixoes on Sunday 15 November – Estadio do Mar hosts, kick-off 19:00 WAT. Table check: Leixoes are 12th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), Chaves 17th on 8 (in the relegation places). A gap of just 3 points – three points here could swing the table.
Current form
Leixoes – last 5: DLLLL Latest result: they drew with Felgueiras 1932 3–3 (away). 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Chaves – last 5: LLWWD Latest result: they fell to Penafiel 2–3 (home). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.
Form edge: Chaves, with 1.2 points per game to 0.7.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Leixoes 1.6 – 1.3 Chaves, about 2.8 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 52%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.
Markets to consider
1X2 chances: Leixoes 46%, draw 20%, Chaves 33%.
GG/NG: yes – 62% at 1.72.
Value angle: Chaves to win at 3.46 – our chance 33%, the price implies 29%.
Kings Odds tip
Kings Odds tip: Over 1.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.25). Predicted score: Leixoes 1–1 Chaves. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Leixoes46%fair 2.17 · @1.98
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.42
Chaves33%fair 2.99 · @3.46
2.83Expected goals
1.56Leixoes xG
1.28Chaves xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–17%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Leixoes 1.6 – 1.3 Chaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leixoes to win
46%
2.17
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.26
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.62
1.72 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.44
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leixoes / FT Leixoes
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.98
–
Recent results
Leixoes – last 6
DLLLLW
7 Nov
@ Felgueiras 1932
3–3
D
31 Oct
vs Sporting CP B
1–2
L
24 Oct
@ Academica
0–4
L
17 Oct
@ Vianense
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs FC Porto B
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Cinfães
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Chaves – last 6
LLWWDL
7 Nov
vs Penafiel
2–3
L
31 Oct
@ Benfica B
1–3
L
23 Oct
vs Vizela
2–1
W
16 Oct
vs Os Marialvas
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Farense
0–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leixoes and Chaves.
Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (75% chance), priced at 1.25.
Who will win Leixoes vs Chaves?
Leixoes win 46% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Chaves 33%.
How many goals will there be in Leixoes vs Chaves?
Around 2.8 goals on our projection – 52% for over 2.5 and 62% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Leixoes vs Chaves?
Kings Odds predicts Leixoes 1–1 Chaves. Total goals projected: 2.8.
When is Leixoes vs Chaves?
Leixoes vs Chaves (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Mar.
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
