Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
Lusitânia Lourosa are on the road in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 15 November, visiting Penafiel (Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril) at 16:30 WAT. Penafiel come in 1st with 22 points and Lusitânia Lourosa 4th with 19 – one top of the pile, the other in the top four. A gap of just 3 points – three points here could swing the table.
Current form
Penafiel – last 5: WWWLL Latest result: they beat Chaves 3–2 (away). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Lusitânia Lourosa – last 5: LDDWD Latest result: they fell to Feirense 0–1 (away). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Form edge: Penafiel, with 2.0 points per game to 1.5.
Head to head
Previous meeting (16 Feb 2026): Penafiel 2–0 Lusitânia Lourosa.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Penafiel 1.5 – 1.1 Lusitânia Lourosa, about 2.6 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 47%, GG 57%.
Markets to consider
- 1X2 chances: Penafiel 47%, draw 23%, Lusitânia Lourosa 30%.
- GG/NG: yes – 57% at 1.78.
- Value angle: Penafiel to win at 2.29 – our chance 47%, the price implies 44%.
Kings Odds tip
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals (73% chance, priced 1.24). Predicted score: Penafiel 1–1 Lusitânia Lourosa. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
