♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 08:15 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Over 1.5 goals
Strong · fair odds 1.43
70%chance1.32odds7/10rating
Value
Burgos to win @ 3.08 – our chance 41% vs 32% in the price (edge +27%)
Tips by market
ResultBurgos to win41% · @3.08
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%
Leganes vs Burgos prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
The Segunda División brings Burgos to Leganes on Friday 13 November – Municipal de Butarque hosts, kick-off 20:30 WAT. Leganes come in 18th with 12 points and Burgos 3rd with 24 – one in the bottom half, the other in the top four. A 12-point gap separates them – two very different seasons.
Current form
Leganes – last 5: WLLDL Latest result: they beat Trival Valderas 1–0 (away). Home form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Burgos – last 5: WDWWW Latest result: they beat Celta de Vigo II 2–1 (home). 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Form edge: Burgos, with 2.2 points per game to 0.7.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Leganes 1.2 – 1.3 Burgos, about 2.5 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 45%, GG 51%.
Markets to consider
1X2 chances: Leganes 37%, draw 22%, Burgos 41%.
GG/NG: yes – 51% at 1.83.
Value angle: Burgos to win at 3.08 – our chance 41%, the price implies 32%.
Kings Odds tip
Ade Ola's call: Over 1.5 goals (70% chance, priced 1.32). Predicted score: Leganes 1–1 Burgos. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Leganes37%fair 2.72 · @2.32
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.12
Burgos41%fair 2.42 · @3.08
2.49Expected goals
1.20Leganes xG
1.29Burgos xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Leganes 1.2 – 1.3 Burgos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burgos to win
41%
2.42
3.08 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.19
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burgos / FT Burgos
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.05
–
Recent results
Leganes – last 6
WLLDLL
10 Nov
@ Trival Valderas
1–0
W
7 Nov
vs Albacete
1–3
L
2 Nov
@ Valladolid
3–4
L
24 Oct
vs Mallorca
1–1
D
16 Oct
vs Cordoba
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Almeria
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Burgos – last 6
WDWWWL
7 Nov
vs Celta de Vigo II
2–1
W
1 Nov
vs Castellón
1–1
D
29 Oct
@ Laredo
4–2
W
26 Oct
@ FC Andorra
3–2
W
18 Oct
vs Sabadell
1–0
W
12 Oct
vs Granada CF
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leganes and Burgos.
Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (70% chance), priced at 1.32.
Who will win Leganes vs Burgos?
Leganes win 37% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Burgos 41%.
How many goals will there be in Leganes vs Burgos?
Around 2.5 goals on our projection – 45% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Leganes vs Burgos?
Kings Odds predicts Leganes 1–1 Burgos. Total goals projected: 2.5.
When is Leganes vs Burgos?
Leganes vs Burgos (Segunda División) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Butarque.
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
