Bulgaria vs Iceland prediction

Bulgaria vs Iceland prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Bulgaria v Iceland, UEFA Nations League – Friday 13 November, 20:45 WAT at Hristo Botev Stadium. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. Table check: Bulgaria are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games, Iceland 1st on 8.

Current form

Bulgaria – last 5: WLDLD Latest result: they beat Luxembourg 2–0 (away). Home form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. A thin 0.8 goals per game – the goals have dried up.

Iceland – last 5: DWWDL Latest result: they drew with Estonia 0–0 (away). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 2 defeats in 4. 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded per game. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Head to head

Previous meeting (3 Oct 2026): Iceland 3–0 Bulgaria.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Bulgaria 0.6 – 1.7 Iceland, about 2.3 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 43%, GG 50%.

Markets to consider

• 1X2 chances: Bulgaria 12%, draw 24%, Iceland 64%.
• Double chance option: Iceland or draw – 88% at 1.20.
• GG/NG: no – 50% at 1.80.
• Value angle: Iceland to win at 1.83 – our chance 64%, the price implies 55%.

Kings Odds tip

Ade Ola's call: Iceland or draw (88% chance, priced 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.14, which makes it a value play). Predicted score: Bulgaria 0–1 Iceland. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.