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Europe: UEFA Nations League· Zimbru Kick-off

Moldova vs Kazakhstan prediction

MoldovaLWDLD
Fri 13 Nov 2026 xG 1.21 – 1.29
KazakhstanDLLDL
Kings Odds predictionAway 0–1Small
Best tipOver 1.5 goals68% chance · @1.44
Goals2.5 expectedOver 2.5 42% · BTTS 56%
1 · Moldova2.7036% chanceX · Draw2.9024% chance2 · Kazakhstan2.8840% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 07:32 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Over 1.5 goals

Good · fair odds 1.47

68%chance1.44odds7/10rating
Value

Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 56% vs 48% in the price (edge +18%)

Tips by market

ResultKazakhstan to win40% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%

Moldova vs Kazakhstan prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Fixture: Moldova vs Kazakhstan. Competition: UEFA Nations League. Kick-off: Friday 13 November, 18:00 WAT. Ground: Zimbru. Moldova come in 3rd with 4 points and Kazakhstan 4th with 2. A gap of just 2 points – three points here could swing the table.

Current form

Moldova – last 5: LWDLD Latest result: they fell to Slovakia 0–4 (home). Home form in that spell: 0 wins, 1 defeat in 3. 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.

Kazakhstan – last 5: DLLDL Latest result: they drew with Faroe Islands 2–2 (home). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 4. 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.

Form edge: Moldova, with 1.0 points per game to 0.5.

Head to head

Previous meeting (2 Oct 2026): Kazakhstan 1–2 Moldova.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Moldova 1.2 – 1.3 Kazakhstan, about 2.5 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 42%, GG 56%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Moldova 36%, draw 24%, Kazakhstan 40%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 56% at 2.10.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – our chance 56%, the price implies 48%.

Kings Odds tip

Kings Odds tip: Over 1.5 goals (68% chance, priced 1.44). Predicted score: Moldova 1–1 Kazakhstan. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Moldova36%fair 2.76 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.90
Kazakhstan40%fair 2.49 · @2.88
2.50Expected goals
1.21Moldova xG
1.29Kazakhstan xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Moldova 1.2 – 1.3 Kazakhstan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKazakhstan to win40%2.492.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.311.40 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.782.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals68%1.471.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals58%1.741.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals78%1.291.17
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kazakhstan / FT Kazakhstan22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%12.09–

Recent results

Moldova – last 6

LWDLDD
6 Octvs Slovakia0–4L
2 Oct@ Kazakhstan2–1W
29 Sepvs Faroe Islands1–1D
26 Sep@ Slovakia0–2L
9 Jun@ Armenia1–1D
5 Junvs Bulgaria2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kazakhstan – last 6

DLLDLD
6 Octvs Faroe Islands2–2D
2 Octvs Moldova1–2L
29 Sep@ Slovakia1–2L
26 Sep@ Faroe Islands1–1D
9 Jun@ Hungary1–3L
6 Jun@ Armenia1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Oct 2026Kazakhstan v Moldova1–2
Moldova vs Kazakhstan head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovakia4310+710
2Faroe Islands404004
3Moldova4112-54
4Kazakhstan4022-22

More UEFA Nations League predictions

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SerbiavGermany Large Away 0–2 2@1.28 8.506.251.28
NetherlandsvGreece Large Home 2–0 1@1.55 1.554.335.50
SlovakiavFaroe Islands Large Home 1–0 O1.5@1.25 1.364.508.50
BulgariavIceland Large Away 0–1 X2@1.20 4.333.501.83
LiechtensteinvAzerbaijan Large Away 0–1 U3.5@1.20 13.505.001.30
LuxembourgvEstonia Small Away 0–1 U2.5@1.50 2.303.103.10
AndorravGibraltar Large Home 1–0 U2.5@1.33 1.733.306.20
SloveniavSwitzerland Medium Away 0–1 U3.5@1.22 5.003.401.73

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Moldova vs Kazakhstan?

Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (68% chance), priced at 1.44.

Who will win Moldova vs Kazakhstan?

Moldova win 36% of the time on our model, the draw 24%, Kazakhstan 40%.

How many goals will there be in Moldova vs Kazakhstan?

Around 2.5 goals on our projection – 42% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Moldova vs Kazakhstan?

Kings Odds predicts Moldova 1–1 Kazakhstan. Total goals projected: 2.5.

When is Moldova vs Kazakhstan?

Moldova vs Kazakhstan (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Zimbru.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.