Portugal: Segunda Liga· Estádio Municipal de Portimão Kick-off

Portimonense vs Academica prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 1.21 – 1.23
Kings Odds predictionAway 0–1Small
Best tipUnder 3.5 goals76% chance · @1.22
Goals2.4 expectedOver 2.5 45% · BTTS 54%
1 · Portimonense2.3139% chanceX · Draw3.2022% chance2 · Academica2.9340% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 05:52 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 3.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.32

76%chance1.22odds8/10rating
Value

Academica to win @ 2.93 – our chance 40% vs 34% in the price (edge +16%)

Tips by market

ResultAcademica to win40% · @2.93
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%

Portimonense vs Academica prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

The Segunda Liga brings Academica to Portimonense on Sunday 15 November – Estádio Municipal de Portimão hosts, kick-off 15:00 WAT. Table check: Portimonense are 10th with 14 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), Academica 6th on 16 (in the top half). A gap of just 2 points – three points here could swing the table.

Current form

Portimonense – last 5: WDLWW Latest result: they beat FC Porto B 1–0 (away). 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded per game. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Academica – last 5: DLWWW Latest result: they drew with Amarante 1–1 (home). Away form in that spell: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. They are scoring 2.5 per game, which defences will respect.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Portimonense 1.2 – 1.2 Academica, about 2.4 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 45%, GG 54%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Portimonense 39%, draw 22%, Academica 40%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 54% at 1.80.
  • Value angle: Academica to win at 2.93 – our chance 40%, the price implies 34%.

Kings Odds tip

Ade Ola's call: Under 3.5 goals (76% chance, priced 1.22). Predicted score: Portimonense 1–1 Academica. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Portimonense39%fair 2.59 · @2.31
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.20
Academica40%fair 2.52 · @2.93
2.44Expected goals
1.21Portimonense xG
1.23Academica xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Portimonense 1.2 – 1.2 Academica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAcademica to win40%2.522.93 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.861.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals70%1.431.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.811.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.321.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Academica / FT Academica21%4.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%12.53–

Recent results

Portimonense – last 6

WDLWWW
8 Nov@ FC Porto B1–0W
31 Octvs Torreense0–0D
24 Oct@ Sporting CP B0–3L
17 Oct@ Florgrade2–1W
10 Oct@ Amarante2–1W
19 Sep@ Castro Daire1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Academica – last 6

DLWWWW
7 Novvs Amarante1–1D
1 Nov@ Vizela1–2L
24 Octvs Leixoes4–0W
17 Octvs Amarante3–2W
11 Oct@ União de Leiria2–0W
18 Sep@ Real4–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Portimonense and Academica.

Portimonense vs Academica head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portimonense vs Academica?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (76% chance), priced at 1.22.

Who will win Portimonense vs Academica?

Portimonense win 39% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Academica 40%.

How many goals will there be in Portimonense vs Academica?

Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 45% for over 2.5 and 54% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Portimonense vs Academica?

Kings Odds predicts Portimonense 1–1 Academica. Total goals projected: 2.4.

When is Portimonense vs Academica?

Portimonense vs Academica (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Portimão.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.