England: League Two· Alexandra Stadium Kick-off

Crewe vs Newport County prediction

CreweLWDLL
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG 1.32 – 1.26
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Small
Best tipUnder 3.5 goals73% chance · @1.30
Goals2.6 expectedOver 2.5 48% · BTTS 55%
1 · Crewe2.0541% chanceX · Draw3.4021% chance2 · Newport County3.4038% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 07:10 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 3.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.37

73%chance1.30odds8/10rating
Value

Newport County to win @ 3.40 – our chance 38% vs 29% in the price (edge +30%)

Tips by market

ResultCrewe to win41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%

Crewe vs Newport County prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

The League Two brings Newport County to Crewe on Saturday 14 November – Alexandra Stadium hosts, kick-off 16:00 WAT. Crewe come in 4th with 22 points and Newport County 14th with 18 – one in the top four, the other in the bottom half.

Current form

Crewe – last 5: LWDLL Latest result: they fell to Wigan 1–2 (home). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 4. 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.

Newport County – last 5: WLWLD Latest result: they beat Walsall 3–1 (home). 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Crewe 1.3 – 1.3 Newport County, about 2.6 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 48%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Crewe 41%, draw 21%, Newport County 38%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 55% at 1.80.
  • Value angle: Newport County to win at 3.40 – our chance 38%, the price implies 29%.

Kings Odds tip

Ade Ola's call: Under 3.5 goals (73% chance, priced 1.30). Predicted score: Crewe 1–1 Newport County. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Crewe41%fair 2.43 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Newport County38%fair 2.61 · @3.40
2.59Expected goals
1.32Crewe xG
1.26Newport County xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Crewe 1.3 – 1.3 Newport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCrewe to win41%2.432.05
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.821.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.371.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals52%1.931.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals73%1.371.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Crewe / FT Crewe22%4.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.01–

Recent results

Crewe – last 6

LWDLLW
10 Novvs Wigan1–2L
7 Novvs AFC Wimbledon2–1W
31 Octvs Barnet1–1D
24 Oct@ Chesterfield1–5L
20 Oct@ Exeter City0–2L
17 Octvs Rochdale3–2W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Newport County – last 6

WLWLDD
7 Novvs Walsall3–1W
3 Novvs Crystal Palace U211–2L
30 Octvs Chesterfield4–1W
24 Oct@ Cheltenham0–1L
20 Oct@ Rotherham2–2D
17 Octvs York1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Crewe and Newport County.

Crewe vs Newport County head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Crewe vs Newport County?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (73% chance), priced at 1.30.

Who will win Crewe vs Newport County?

Crewe win 41% of the time on our model, the draw 21%, Newport County 38%.

How many goals will there be in Crewe vs Newport County?

Around 2.6 goals on our projection – 48% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Crewe vs Newport County?

Kings Odds predicts Crewe 1–1 Newport County. Total goals projected: 2.6.

When is Crewe vs Newport County?

Crewe vs Newport County (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.