♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 07:10 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Strong · fair odds 1.37
73%chance1.30odds8/10rating
Value
Newport County to win @ 3.40 – our chance 38% vs 29% in the price (edge +30%)
Tips by market
ResultCrewe to win41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%
Crewe vs Newport County prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
The League Two brings Newport County to Crewe on Saturday 14 November – Alexandra Stadium hosts, kick-off 16:00 WAT. Crewe come in 4th with 22 points and Newport County 14th with 18 – one in the top four, the other in the bottom half.
Current form
Crewe – last 5: LWDLL Latest result: they fell to Wigan 1–2 (home). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 4. 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.
Newport County – last 5: WLWLD Latest result: they beat Walsall 3–1 (home). 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Crewe 1.3 – 1.3 Newport County, about 2.6 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 48%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.
Markets to consider
1X2 chances: Crewe 41%, draw 21%, Newport County 38%.
GG/NG: yes – 55% at 1.80.
Value angle: Newport County to win at 3.40 – our chance 38%, the price implies 29%.
Kings Odds tip
Ade Ola's call: Under 3.5 goals (73% chance, priced 1.30). Predicted score: Crewe 1–1 Newport County. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Crewe41%fair 2.43 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Newport County38%fair 2.61 · @3.40
2.59Expected goals
1.32Crewe xG
1.26Newport County xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Crewe 1.3 – 1.3 Newport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crewe to win
41%
2.43
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crewe / FT Crewe
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.01
–
Recent results
Crewe – last 6
LWDLLW
10 Nov
vs Wigan
1–2
L
7 Nov
vs AFC Wimbledon
2–1
W
31 Oct
vs Barnet
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Chesterfield
1–5
L
20 Oct
@ Exeter City
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs Rochdale
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Newport County – last 6
WLWLDD
7 Nov
vs Walsall
3–1
W
3 Nov
vs Crystal Palace U21
1–2
L
30 Oct
vs Chesterfield
4–1
W
24 Oct
@ Cheltenham
0–1
L
20 Oct
@ Rotherham
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs York
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crewe and Newport County.
Crewe vs Newport County (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.