♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 07:17 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Strong · fair odds 1.37
73%chance1.30odds8/10rating
Tips by market
ResultReal Murcia to win42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%
Real Murcia vs Alcorcon prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
Real Murcia v Alcorcon, Primera División RFEF Group 2 – Sunday 15 November, 18:45 WAT at Estadio Enrique Roca. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. Real Murcia come in 3rd with 20 points and Alcorcon 5th with 18 – one in the top four, the other in the top half. A gap of just 2 points – three points here could swing the table.
Current form
Real Murcia – last 5: DWLDW Latest result: they drew with Algeciras 1–1 (home). A thin 0.5 goals per game – the goals have dried up. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.
Alcorcon – last 5: WDDDL Latest result: they beat Real Jaén 4–3 (home). 2.3 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now.
Head to head
Previous meeting (15 Feb 2026): Alcorcon 1–0 Real Murcia.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Real Murcia 1.4 – 1.2 Alcorcon, about 2.6 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Markets to consider
1X2 chances: Real Murcia 42%, draw 22%, Alcorcon 36%.
GG/NG: yes – 58% at 1.80.
Kings Odds tip
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals (73% chance, priced 1.30). Predicted score: Real Murcia 1–1 Alcorcon. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Real Murcia42%fair 2.39 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.10
Alcorcon36%fair 2.75 · @2.55
2.59Expected goals
1.35Real Murcia xG
1.24Alcorcon xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Real Murcia 1.4 – 1.2 Alcorcon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Murcia vs Alcorcon?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (73% chance), priced at 1.30.
Who will win Real Murcia vs Alcorcon?
Real Murcia win 42% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Alcorcon 36%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia vs Alcorcon?
Around 2.6 goals on our projection – 48% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Real Murcia vs Alcorcon?
Kings Odds predicts Real Murcia 1–1 Alcorcon. Total goals projected: 2.6.
When is Real Murcia vs Alcorcon?
Real Murcia vs Alcorcon (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Enrique Roca.
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
