♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 11:19 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Lealtad to win
Good · fair odds 1.54
65%chance1.90odds6/10rating
Tips by market
ResultLealtad to win65% · @1.90
Double chanceLealtad or draw88% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%
Lealtad vs Mosconia prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
Lealtad v Mosconia, Tercera División RFEF Group 2 – Sunday 15 November, 12:00 WAT. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. Table check: Lealtad are 3rd with 20 points from 10 games (in the top four), Mosconia 7th on 16 (in the top half).
Current form
Lealtad – last 5: WWWDW Latest result: they beat San Martín 1–0 (away). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. 1.8 scored and 0.0 conceded per game. 6 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.
Mosconia – last 5: DLWLD Latest result: they drew with Sporting Gijón II 1–1 (home). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.
Form edge: Lealtad, with 2.7 points per game to 1.0.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Lealtad 1.8 – 0.6 Mosconia, about 2.4 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 44%, GG 51%.
Markets to consider
1X2 chances: Lealtad 65%, draw 23%, Mosconia 12%.
Double chance option: Lealtad or draw – 88% at 1.19.
GG/NG: yes – 51% at 1.86.
Kings Odds tip
Ade Ola's call: Lealtad to win (65% chance, priced 1.90 – longer than our fair 1.54, which makes it a value play). Predicted score: Lealtad 1–0 Mosconia. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Lealtad65%fair 1.54 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.18
Mosconia12%fair 8.00 · @3.55
2.42Expected goals
1.79Lealtad xG
0.64Mosconia xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Lealtad 1.8 – 0.6 Mosconia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lealtad to win
65%
1.54
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Lealtad or draw
88%
1.14
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.97
1.86
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.20
Half-time result
Lealtad ahead at half-time
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lealtad / FT Lealtad
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Lealtad – last 6
WWWDWW
8 Nov
@ San Martín
1–0
W
31 Oct
vs Siero
3–0
W
25 Oct
@ Colunga
4–0
W
18 Oct
vs Caudal
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Langreo
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Avilés Stadium
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mosconia – last 6
DLWLDD
8 Nov
vs Sporting Gijón II
1–1
D
31 Oct
@ Praviano
2–5
L
25 Oct
vs L'Entregu
3–1
W
18 Oct
@ Covadonga
0–4
L
10 Oct
vs Ceares
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Astur
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lealtad and Mosconia.
Our tip is Lealtad to win (65% chance), priced at 1.90.
Who will win Lealtad vs Mosconia?
Lealtad win 65% of the time on our model, the draw 23%, Mosconia 12%.
How many goals will there be in Lealtad vs Mosconia?
Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 44% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Lealtad vs Mosconia?
Kings Odds predicts Lealtad 1–0 Mosconia. Total goals projected: 2.4.
When is Lealtad vs Mosconia?
Lealtad vs Mosconia (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
