Calahorra vs Varea prediction

1–0
10' xG 1.49 – 1.15
VareaWLLWW
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Medium
Best tipOver 1.5 goals72% chance · @1.28
Goals2.6 expectedOver 2.5 48% · BTTS 47%
1 · Calahorra1.5050% chanceX · Draw3.6216% chance2 · Varea5.6034% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 16:48 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Over 1.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.38

72%chance1.28odds7/10rating

Tips by market

ResultCalahorra to win50% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011%

Calahorra vs Varea prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Varea are on the road in the Tercera División RFEF Group 16 on Sunday 15 November, visiting Calahorra at 16:30 WAT. Calahorra come in 4th with 21 points and Varea 5th with 19 – one in the top four, the other in the top half. A gap of just 2 points – three points here could swing the table.

Current form

Calahorra – last 5: WWWLW Latest result: they beat Vianés 3–1 (away). Home form in that spell: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 3. 2.7 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Varea – last 5: WLLWW Latest result: they beat Anguiano 2–0 (home). 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Head to head

Previous meeting (29 Mar 2026): Varea 1–1 Calahorra.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Calahorra 1.5 – 1.2 Varea, about 2.6 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 48%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Calahorra 50%, draw 16%, Varea 34%.
  • GG/NG: no – 53% at 1.68.

Kings Odds tip

Ade Ola's call: Over 1.5 goals (72% chance, priced 1.28). Predicted score: Calahorra 1–1 Varea. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Calahorra50%fair 2.00 · @1.50
Draw16%fair 6.40 · @3.62
Varea34%fair 2.90 · @5.60
2.64Expected goals
1.49Calahorra xG
1.15Varea xG
47%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Calahorra 1.5 – 1.2 Varea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCalahorra to win50%2.001.50
Double chanceEither team to win84%1.191.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score53%1.871.68
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.381.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals52%1.931.74
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals73%1.381.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Calahorra / FT Calahorra27%3.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011%9.42–

Recent results

Calahorra – last 6

WWWLWL
8 Nov@ Vianés3–1W
1 Novvs Casalarreina3–0W
25 Octvs Yagüe5–0W
18 Oct@ Anguiano0–3L
11 Octvs Haro Deportivo4–0W
4 Oct@ Alfaro1–2L
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Varea – last 6

WLLWWW
8 Novvs Anguiano2–0W
1 Nov@ Haro Deportivo1–2L
29 Octvs FC Andorra0–3L
25 Octvs Alfaro1–0W
18 Oct@ Calasancio1–0W
11 Octvs Agoncillo1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Varea v Calahorra1–1
Calahorra vs Varea head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 16 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Calzada11902+627
2Haro Deportivo10811+1025
3Alfaro10712+622
4Calahorra10703+1821
5Varea10541+519
6Berceo10604+818
7Anguiano10523+717
8Agoncillo11452+617
9Oyonesa10523+417
10San Marcial11443+416
11Pradejón10415-313
12Yagüe11407-1012
13Calasancio10325-711
14River Ebro10217-127
15Comillas10136-76
16Cenicero10136-86
17Vianés10118-94
18Casalarreina10109-183

More Tercera División RFEF Group 16 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Calahorra vs Varea?

Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (72% chance), priced at 1.28.

Who will win Calahorra vs Varea?

Calahorra win 50% of the time on our model, the draw 16%, Varea 34%.

How many goals will there be in Calahorra vs Varea?

Around 2.6 goals on our projection – 48% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Calahorra vs Varea?

Kings Odds predicts Calahorra 1–1 Varea. Total goals projected: 2.6.

When is Calahorra vs Varea?

Calahorra vs Varea (Tercera División RFEF Group 16) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.