♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 14 Nov 2026, 17:49 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Strong · fair odds 1.36
74%chance1.26odds8/10rating
Value
Almansa to win @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% in the price (edge +7%)
Tips by market
ResultAlmansa to win61% · @1.77
Double chanceAlmansa or draw83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%
Almansa vs Torrijos prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
Almansa v Torrijos, Tercera División RFEF Group 18 – Sunday 15 November, 12:00 WAT. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. Almansa come in 12th with 12 points and Torrijos 10th with 14 – one in the bottom half, the other in the bottom half. A gap of just 2 points – three points here could swing the table.
Current form
Almansa – last 5: LDLDW Latest result: they fell to Illescas 0–1 (away). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. A thin 0.8 goals per game – the goals have dried up.
Torrijos – last 5: LLLLW Latest result: they fell to Manchego 1–4 (home). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Almansa 1.7 – 0.8 Torrijos, about 2.5 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 47%, GG 57%.
Markets to consider
1X2 chances: Almansa 61%, draw 22%, Torrijos 17%.
Double chance option: Almansa or draw – 83% at 1.15.
GG/NG: yes – 57% at 1.76.
Value angle: Almansa to win at 1.77 – our chance 61%, the price implies 56%.
Kings Odds tip
Ade Ola's call: Under 3.5 goals (74% chance, priced 1.26). Predicted score: Almansa 1–0 Torrijos. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Almansa61%fair 1.65 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
Torrijos17%fair 5.91 · @3.94
2.51Expected goals
1.74Almansa xG
0.78Torrijos xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Almansa 1.7 – 0.8 Torrijos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almansa to win
61%
1.65
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Almansa or draw
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
1.76
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.26
Half-time result
Almansa ahead at half-time
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almansa / FT Almansa
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Almansa – last 6
LDLDWL
8 Nov
@ Illescas
0–1
L
1 Nov
vs Villarrobledo
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Toledo
0–2
L
18 Oct
vs San Clemente
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Marchamalo
3–1
W
4 Oct
@ Manchego
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Torrijos – last 6
LLLLWD
8 Nov
vs Manchego
1–4
L
31 Oct
@ Huracán Balazote
0–1
L
25 Oct
vs Villacañas
0–3
L
17 Oct
@ La Solana
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Noblejas
4–0
W
4 Oct
@ Villarrubia
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almansa and Torrijos.
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (74% chance), priced at 1.26.
Who will win Almansa vs Torrijos?
Almansa win 61% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Torrijos 17%.
How many goals will there be in Almansa vs Torrijos?
Around 2.5 goals on our projection – 47% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Almansa vs Torrijos?
Kings Odds predicts Almansa 1–0 Torrijos. Total goals projected: 2.5.
When is Almansa vs Torrijos?
Almansa vs Torrijos (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
