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Spain: Tercera División RFEF Group 18 Kick-off

Toledo vs Villarrobledo prediction

ToledoWWWLW
Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 1.84 – 0.59
VillarrobledoLDWDD
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Large
Best tipToledo to win69% chance · @1.50
Goals2.4 expectedOver 2.5 44% · BTTS 52%
1 · Toledo1.5069% chanceX · Draw3.6218% chance2 · Villarrobledo5.6013% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 14 Nov 2026, 17:49 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Toledo to win

Strong · fair odds 1.45

69%chance1.50odds7/10rating
Value

Both teams to score @ 2.09 – our chance 52% vs 48% in the price (edge +9%)

Tips by market

ResultToledo to win69% · @1.50
Double chanceToledo or draw87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.09
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%

Toledo vs Villarrobledo prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

The Tercera División RFEF Group 18 brings Villarrobledo to Toledo on Sunday 15 November, kick-off 16:30 WAT. Table check: Toledo are 2nd with 22 points from 10 games (in the top four), Villarrobledo 5th on 17 (in the top half).

Current form

Toledo – last 5: WWWLW Latest result: they beat Marchamalo 2–0 (home). Home form in that spell: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 3. They are scoring 2.0 per game, which defences will respect.

Villarrobledo – last 5: LDWDD Latest result: they fell to San Clemente 0–2 (home). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. A thin 0.7 goals per game – the goals have dried up. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Form edge: Toledo, with 2.5 points per game to 1.5.

Head to head

Previous meeting (29 Mar 2026): Villarrobledo 0–0 Toledo.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Toledo 1.8 – 0.6 Villarrobledo, about 2.4 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 44%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Toledo 69%, draw 18%, Villarrobledo 13%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 52% at 2.09.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.09 – our chance 52%, the price implies 48%.

Kings Odds tip

Kings Odds tip: Toledo to win (69% chance, priced 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.45, which makes it a value play). Predicted score: Toledo 1–0 Villarrobledo. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Toledo69%fair 1.45 · @1.50
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @3.62
Villarrobledo13%fair 7.89 · @5.60
2.42Expected goals
1.84Toledo xG
0.59Villarrobledo xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
3–09%
0–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Toledo 1.8 – 0.6 Villarrobledo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultToledo to win69%1.451.50
Double chanceToledo or draw87%1.151.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.922.09 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.451.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals56%1.781.64
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals77%1.311.19
Half-time resultToledo ahead at half-time47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Toledo / FT Toledo43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.40–

Recent results

Toledo – last 6

WWWLWW
8 Novvs Marchamalo2–0W
31 Oct@ San Clemente3–2W
25 Octvs Almansa2–0W
17 Oct@ Manchego0–1L
11 Octvs Huracán Balazote3–1W
3 Oct@ Villacañas2–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Villarrobledo – last 6

LDWDDW
8 Novvs San Clemente0–2L
1 Nov@ Almansa1–1D
25 Octvs Manchego1–0W
18 Oct@ Huracán Balazote1–1D
11 Octvs Villacañas0–0D
3 Oct@ La Solana1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Villarrobledo v Toledo0–0
Toledo vs Villarrobledo head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 18 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchego10802+1024
2Toledo10712+1222
3Villacañas10532+918
4CD Villa10604+218
5Villarrobledo10451+617
6Illescas10523+117
7Tarancón10433+315
8San Clemente10433+115
9Noblejas10424-114
10Torrijos10424-114
11Villarrubia10343-113
12Almansa10334+212
13Marchamalo10334-212
14La Solana10406-212
15Socuéllamos10244-210
16Huracán Balazote10217-147
17Quintanar del Rey10136-86
18Guadalajara II10037-153

More Tercera División RFEF Group 18 predictions

League hub
AlmansavTorrijos Medium Home 1–0 U3.5@1.26 1.773.303.94
San ClementevIllescas Small Home 1–0 O1.5@1.35 2.423.042.64

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Toledo vs Villarrobledo?

Our tip is Toledo to win (69% chance), priced at 1.50.

Who will win Toledo vs Villarrobledo?

Toledo win 69% of the time on our model, the draw 18%, Villarrobledo 13%.

How many goals will there be in Toledo vs Villarrobledo?

Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 44% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Toledo vs Villarrobledo?

Kings Odds predicts Toledo 1–0 Villarrobledo. Total goals projected: 2.4.

When is Toledo vs Villarrobledo?

Toledo vs Villarrobledo (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.