Netherlands: Derde Divisie Saturday Kick-off

Hollandia vs Hoogeveen prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 1.63 – 2.48
Kings Odds predictionAway 1–2Medium
Best tipOver 2.5 goals76% chance · @1.21
Goals4.1 expectedOver 2.5 76% · BTTS 73%
1 · Hollandia2.9327% chanceX · Draw3.9215% chance2 · Hoogeveen1.9058% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 13:12 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Over 2.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.31

76%chance1.21odds8/10rating
Value

Hoogeveen to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% in the price (edge +11%)

Tips by market

ResultHoogeveen to win58% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win85% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score73% · @1.24
GoalsOver 2.5 goals76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%

Hollandia vs Hoogeveen prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Hoogeveen are on the road in the Derde Divisie Saturday on Sunday 15 November, visiting Hollandia at 14:00 WAT. Table check: Hollandia are 17th with 8 points from 12 games (in the top half), Hoogeveen 13th on 14 (in the top half).

Current form

Hollandia – last 5: LWDWL Latest result: they fell to Purmersteijn 1–4 (away). Home form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.

Hoogeveen – last 5: DLLLW Latest result: they drew with TEC 2–2 (home). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. 2.3 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Hollandia 1.6 – 2.5 Hoogeveen, about 4.1 in total. Goals look likely: over 2.5 at 76%, GG at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Hollandia 27%, draw 15%, Hoogeveen 58%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 73% at 1.24.
  • Value angle: Hoogeveen to win at 1.90 – our chance 58%, the price implies 53%.

Kings Odds tip

Our pick: Over 2.5 goals (76% chance, priced 1.21). Predicted score: Hollandia 1–2 Hoogeveen. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Hollandia27%fair 3.73 · @2.93
Draw15%fair 6.67 · @3.92
Hoogeveen58%fair 1.72 · @1.90
4.11Expected goals
1.63Hollandia xG
2.48Hoogeveen xG
73%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–37%
2–27%
1–17%
2–36%
2–15%

From our goals model: Hollandia 1.6 – 2.5 Hoogeveen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHoogeveen to win58%1.721.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win85%1.181.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score73%1.371.24
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals92%1.09–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals76%1.311.21
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals58%1.731.62
Half-time resultHoogeveen ahead at half-time44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hoogeveen / FT Hoogeveen36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%12.17–

Recent results

Hollandia – last 6

LWDWLL
8 Nov@ Purmersteijn1–4L
31 Oct@ Eemdijk1–0W
25 Octvs VV Scherpenzeel2–2D
17 Oct@ SVZW1–0W
10 Octvs Staphorst2–4L
27 Sepvs Hercules0–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Hoogeveen – last 6

DLLLWW
8 Novvs TEC2–2D
24 Oct@ Sparta Nijkerk0–2L
17 Octvs ACV1–4L
10 Oct@ Harkemase Boys1–2L
3 Octvs SC Genemuiden5–3W
27 Sep@ ADO '205–1W
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hollandia and Hoogeveen.

Hollandia vs Hoogeveen head-to-head page →

Derde Divisie Saturday table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ACV13931+2330
2VV Scherpenzeel13931+1230
3Harkemase Boys13823+826
4SC Genemuiden13814+725
5TEC13733+1424
6Purmersteijn13733+824
7Sportlust '4613652+323
8Excelsior '3113715+822
9Sparta Nijkerk13634+721
10ADO '2013526-517
11Eemdijk13517-716
12Hercules13517-816
13Hoogeveen12426-114
14Staphorst13247-1010
15Dovo13247-1210
16DVS 33 Ermelo13238-89
17Hollandia12228-138
18SVZW130112-261
1FC Lisse131111+2534
2Noordwijk131111+2334
3Rijnvogels13832+1827
4Excelsior Maassluis13823+1126
5Zwaluwen13715-122
6Poortugaal13706+121
7UDI '1912624+920
8GOES13625-320
9Gemert12543+119
10Dongen13616019
11Blauw Geel13535018
12TOGB13436-615
13Roosendaal12327-611
14UNA13256-711
15Vvsb13328-1111
16Groene Ster12237-179
17Achilles Veen132011-226
18EVV130310-153

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hollandia vs Hoogeveen?

Our tip is Over 2.5 goals (76% chance), priced at 1.21.

Who will win Hollandia vs Hoogeveen?

Hollandia win 27% of the time on our model, the draw 15%, Hoogeveen 58%.

How many goals will there be in Hollandia vs Hoogeveen?

Around 4.1 goals on our projection – 76% for over 2.5 and 73% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Hollandia vs Hoogeveen?

Kings Odds predicts Hollandia 1–2 Hoogeveen. Total goals projected: 4.1.

When is Hollandia vs Hoogeveen?

Hollandia vs Hoogeveen (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.