Italy: Serie D Girone H Kick-off

Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 1.84 – 0.82
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Medium
Best tipFidelis Andria or draw85% chance · @1.25
Goals2.7 expectedOver 2.5 49% · BTTS 53%
1 · Fidelis Andria1.9361% chanceX · Draw3.2524% chance2 · Nocerina3.5515% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 13:12 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Fidelis Andria or draw

Very strong · fair odds 1.18

85%chance1.25odds10/10rating
Value

Fidelis Andria to win @ 1.93 – our chance 61% vs 52% in the price (edge +17%)

Tips by market

ResultFidelis Andria to win61% · @1.93
Double chanceFidelis Andria or draw85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74%
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%

Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Fixture: Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina. Competition: Serie D Girone H. Kick-off: Sunday 15 November, 15:30 WAT. Fidelis Andria come in 8th with 17 points and Nocerina 12th with 13 – one in the top half, the other in the bottom half.

Current form

Fidelis Andria – last 5: DWLWW Latest result: they drew with Ebolitana 0–0 (away). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded per game. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Nocerina – last 5: LLLLL Latest result: they fell to Real Forio 2014 1–2 (home). A thin 0.7 goals per game – the goals have dried up.

Form edge: Fidelis Andria, with 2.2 points per game to 0.2.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Fidelis Andria 1.8 – 0.8 Nocerina, about 2.7 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 49%, GG 53%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Fidelis Andria 61%, draw 24%, Nocerina 15%.
  • Double chance option: Fidelis Andria or draw – 85% at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: yes – 53% at 1.77.
  • Value angle: Fidelis Andria to win at 1.93 – our chance 61%, the price implies 52%.

Kings Odds tip

Kings Odds tip: Fidelis Andria or draw (85% chance, priced 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, which makes it a value play). Predicted score: Fidelis Andria 1–0 Nocerina. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Fidelis Andria61%fair 1.65 · @1.93
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.25
Nocerina15%fair 6.56 · @3.55
2.66Expected goals
1.84Fidelis Andria xG
0.82Nocerina xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Fidelis Andria 1.8 – 0.8 Nocerina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFidelis Andria to win61%1.651.93 ▲
Double chanceFidelis Andria or draw85%1.181.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.871.77
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals51%1.981.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals72%1.38–
Half-time resultFidelis Andria ahead at half-time44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fidelis Andria / FT Fidelis Andria39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.30–

Recent results

Fidelis Andria – last 6

DWLWWW
8 Nov@ Ebolitana0–0D
1 Novvs Francavilla2–0W
28 Octvs Virtus Francavilla0–1L
25 Oct@ Nardò3–1W
18 Octvs Virtus Francavilla2–1W
11 Oct@ Real Normanna1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Nocerina – last 6

LLLLLD
8 Novvs Real Forio 20141–2L
1 Nov@ Gravina1–2L
25 Octvs Gladiator1–2L
18 Oct@ Martina Franca0–2L
11 Octvs Brindisi0–1L
7 Octvs Turris1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Fidelis Andria and Nocerina.

Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone H table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Virtus Francavilla11902+927
2Martina Franca11713+922
3Brindisi11704+621
4Gravina11551+720
5Turris11542+519
6Manfredonia11533+418
7Gladiator11533+118
8Fidelis Andria11524+117
9Bisceglie11506015
10USD Palmese11425-114
11Real Normanna11353-114
12Nocerina11416-213
13Real Forio 201411326-311
14Melfi11326-811
15Ebolitana11245-810
16Ischia11236-49
17Francavilla11227-68
18Nardò11236-97

More Serie D Girone H predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?

Our tip is Fidelis Andria or draw (85% chance), priced at 1.25.

Who will win Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?

Fidelis Andria win 61% of the time on our model, the draw 24%, Nocerina 15%.

How many goals will there be in Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?

Around 2.7 goals on our projection – 49% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?

Kings Odds predicts Fidelis Andria 1–0 Nocerina. Total goals projected: 2.7.

When is Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?

Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.