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Peru: Segunda División· Villa Deportiva USMP Kick-off

U. San Martin vs Union Comercio prediction

U. San MartinWLWWW
Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 1.23 – 1.16
Union ComercioDLDWL
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Small
Best tipOver 1.5 goals68% chance · @1.34
Goals2.4 expectedOver 2.5 43% · BTTS 51%
1 · U. San Martin2.3840% chanceX · Draw2.9423% chance2 · Union Comercio2.7737% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 15:44 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Over 1.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.47

68%chance1.34odds7/10rating

Tips by market

ResultU. San Martin to win40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%

U. San Martin vs Union Comercio prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

The Segunda División brings Union Comercio to U. San Martin on Sunday 15 November – Villa Deportiva USMP hosts, kick-off 16:45 WAT. U. San Martin come in 5th with 24 points and Union Comercio 1st with 32 – one in the top half, the other top of the pile.

Current form

U. San Martin – last 5: WLWWW Latest result: they beat Alianza Universidad 1–0 (away). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.

Union Comercio – last 5: DLDWL Latest result: they drew with Minas 3–3 (home). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. They are scoring 2.0 per game, which defences will respect.

Form edge: U. San Martin, with 2.0 points per game to 1.3.

Head to head

Previous meeting (6 Sep 2026): Union Comercio 1–0 U. San Martin.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: U. San Martin 1.2 – 1.2 Union Comercio, about 2.4 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 43%, GG 51%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: U. San Martin 40%, draw 23%, Union Comercio 37%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 51% at 1.84.

Kings Odds tip

Kings Odds tip: Over 1.5 goals (68% chance, priced 1.34). Predicted score: U. San Martin 1–1 Union Comercio. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

U. San Martin40%fair 2.47 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @2.94
Union Comercio37%fair 2.73 · @2.77
2.39Expected goals
1.23U. San Martin xG
1.16Union Comercio xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: U. San Martin 1.2 – 1.2 Union Comercio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultU. San Martin to win40%2.472.38
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.941.84
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals68%1.471.34
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals57%1.741.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals78%1.291.17
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT U. San Martin / FT U. San Martin22%4.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.41–

Recent results

U. San Martin – last 6

WLWWWL
31 Oct@ Alianza Universidad1–0W
25 Octvs Carlos A. Mannucci1–2L
18 Oct@ Bentín Tacna Heroica2–1W
11 Octvs Bentín Tacna Heroica2–0W
6 Octvs Alianza Universidad2–1W
26 Sep@ Carlos A. Mannucci0–7L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Union Comercio – last 6

DLDWLW
31 Octvs Minas3–3D
26 Oct@ Molinos El Pirata0–1L
18 Oct@ Ayacucho FC1–1D
12 Octvs Ayacucho FC5–0W
6 Oct@ Minas1–4L
27 Sepvs Molinos El Pirata2–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Sep 2026Union Comercio v U. San Martin1–0
U. San Martin vs Union Comercio head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Comercio16952+1432
2Carlos A. Mannucci16934+1030
3Deportivo Llacuabamba16844+1328
4Molinos El Pirata16745+525
5U. San Martin16736+924
6Deportiva Agropecuaria15564+221
7Cesar Vallejo15546+119
8Academia Cantolao16358-1114
9San Marcos140014-430

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for U. San Martin vs Union Comercio?

Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (68% chance), priced at 1.34.

Who will win U. San Martin vs Union Comercio?

U. San Martin win 40% of the time on our model, the draw 23%, Union Comercio 37%.

How many goals will there be in U. San Martin vs Union Comercio?

Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 43% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for U. San Martin vs Union Comercio?

Kings Odds predicts U. San Martin 1–1 Union Comercio. Total goals projected: 2.4.

When is U. San Martin vs Union Comercio?

U. San Martin vs Union Comercio (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Villa Deportiva USMP.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.