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Brazil: Copa Santa Catarina Kick-off

Hercílio Luz vs Joinville prediction

Hercílio LuzWWDWL
Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 1.47 – 1.20
JoinvilleLWLWW
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Small
Best tipUnder 3.5 goals74% chance · @1.20
Goals2.7 expectedOver 2.5 47% · BTTS 52%
1 · Hercílio Luz2.2845% chanceX · Draw3.0222% chance2 · Joinville2.9533% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 13:52 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 3.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.35

74%chance1.20odds8/10rating

Tips by market

ResultHercílio Luz to win45% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%

Hercílio Luz vs Joinville prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Fixture: Hercílio Luz vs Joinville. Competition: Copa Santa Catarina. Kick-off: Sunday 15 November, 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Hercílio Luz – last 5: WWDWL Latest result: they beat Joinville 1–0 (away). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded per game. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Joinville – last 5: LWLWW Latest result: they fell to Hercílio Luz 0–1 (home). Away form in that spell: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. They are scoring 2.0 per game, which defences will respect. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Head to head

Previous meeting (7 Nov 2026): Joinville 0–1 Hercílio Luz. Head-to-head over 2 games: Hercílio Luz 2, Joinville 0, draws 0 – 2.5 goals per game, GG in 1.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Hercílio Luz 1.5 – 1.2 Joinville, about 2.7 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 47%, GG 52%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Hercílio Luz 45%, draw 22%, Joinville 33%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 52% at 1.82.

Kings Odds tip

Our pick: Under 3.5 goals (74% chance, priced 1.20). Predicted score: Hercílio Luz 1–1 Joinville. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Hercílio Luz45%fair 2.22 · @2.28
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.02
Joinville33%fair 3.05 · @2.95
2.66Expected goals
1.47Hercílio Luz xG
1.20Joinville xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%

From our goals model: Hercílio Luz 1.5 – 1.2 Joinville expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHercílio Luz to win45%2.222.28
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.281.27
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.911.82
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.401.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.881.64
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.351.20
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hercílio Luz / FT Hercílio Luz26%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.16–

Recent results

Hercílio Luz – last 6

WWDWLW
7 Nov@ Joinville1–0W
1 Nov@ Santa Catarina3–2W
24 Octvs Blumenau0–0D
17 Octvs Barra2–0W
10 Oct@ Figueirense0–1L
26 Sepvs Nação2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Joinville – last 6

LWLWWW
7 Novvs Hercílio Luz0–1L
1 Novvs Metropolitano3–0W
24 Oct@ Figueirense0–1L
10 Oct@ Santa Catarina3–0W
26 Sepvs Barra2–1W
19 Sep@ Nação4–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Nov 2026Joinville v Hercílio Luz0–1
12 Sep 2026Joinville v Hercílio Luz1–3
Hercílio Luz vs Joinville head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hercílio Luz vs Joinville?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (74% chance), priced at 1.20.

Who will win Hercílio Luz vs Joinville?

Hercílio Luz win 45% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Joinville 33%.

How many goals will there be in Hercílio Luz vs Joinville?

Around 2.7 goals on our projection – 47% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Hercílio Luz vs Joinville?

Kings Odds predicts Hercílio Luz 1–1 Joinville. Total goals projected: 2.7.

When is Hercílio Luz vs Joinville?

Hercílio Luz vs Joinville (Copa Santa Catarina) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.