Tunisia: Ligue 2 Kick-off

EGS Gafsa vs Bouchamma prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 1.25 – 1.14
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Small
Best tipOver 1.5 goals68% chance · @1.36
Goals2.4 expectedOver 2.5 42% · BTTS 46%
1 · EGS Gafsa2.0044% chanceX · Draw3.0417% chance2 · Bouchamma3.4239% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 14 Nov 2026, 12:48 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Over 1.5 goals

Good · fair odds 1.48

68%chance1.36odds7/10rating
Value

Bouchamma to win @ 3.42 – our chance 39% vs 29% in the price (edge +32%)

Tips by market

ResultEGS Gafsa to win44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win83% · @1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011%

EGS Gafsa vs Bouchamma prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

EGS Gafsa v Bouchamma, Ligue 2 – Sunday 15 November, 14:30 WAT. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. EGS Gafsa come in 19th with 7 points and Bouchamma 6th with 13 – one in the bottom half, the other in the top half.

Current form

EGS Gafsa – last 5: WLWLL Latest result: they beat Ariana 1–0 (home). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Bouchamma – last 5: LWDWL Latest result: they fell to Ksour Essef 0–3 (away). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. A thin 0.8 goals per game – the goals have dried up.

Form edge: Bouchamma, with 1.7 points per game to 1.0.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: EGS Gafsa 1.3 – 1.1 Bouchamma, about 2.4 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 42%, GG 46%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: EGS Gafsa 44%, draw 17%, Bouchamma 39%.
  • GG/NG: no – 54% at 1.74.
  • Value angle: Bouchamma to win at 3.42 – our chance 39%, the price implies 29%.

Kings Odds tip

Our pick: Over 1.5 goals (68% chance, priced 1.36). Predicted score: EGS Gafsa 1–1 Bouchamma. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

EGS Gafsa44%fair 2.26 · @2.00
Draw17%fair 5.80 · @3.04
Bouchamma39%fair 2.59 · @3.42
2.39Expected goals
1.25EGS Gafsa xG
1.14Bouchamma xG
46%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: EGS Gafsa 1.3 – 1.1 Bouchamma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEGS Gafsa to win44%2.262.00
Double chanceEither team to win83%1.211.27 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score54%1.871.74
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals68%1.481.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals58%1.741.58
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals77%1.291.18
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT EGS Gafsa / FT EGS Gafsa22%4.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011%8.70–

Recent results

EGS Gafsa – last 6

WLWLLL
1 Novvs Ariana1–0W
27 Oct@ JS Kairouanaise0–1L
19 Octvs CO Medenine3–0W
11 Oct@ Olympique du Kef2–3L
4 Oct@ Korba0–3L
27 Sepvs AS Kasserine1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bouchamma – last 6

LWDWLW
1 Nov@ Ksour Essef0–3L
26 Octvs Kalaâ Sport1–0W
19 Oct@ Jendouba Sport1–1D
11 Octvs Stade Gabesien2–1W
4 Oct@ Redeyef0–3L
27 Sepvs Korba1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between EGS Gafsa and Bouchamma.

EGS Gafsa vs Bouchamma head-to-head page →

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Kasserine7601+718
2EM Mahdia7520+717
3Ksour Essef6420+614
4M'saken7421+514
5CS Chebba7412+113
6Bouchamma7412-213
7AS Soliman7331+512
8Korba7331+412
9Jendouba Sport7331+212
10Mégrine7322+111
11JS Kairouanaise7322+111
12US Tataouine7322-111
13Kalaâ Sport7313+110
14Stade Soussien7313+110
15Sporting Ben Arous7232+29
16Ariana722308
17Stade Gabesien715108
18Sfax Railways715108
19EGS Gafsa7214-27
20AS Agareb7142-37
21Redeyef6204+26
22Kerkennah7133-26
23Olympique du Kef7124-35
24Béni-Khalled7124-45
25CO Medenine7124-75
26BS Bouhajla7124-75
27AS Gabes7025-52
28Moknine7025-92

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for EGS Gafsa vs Bouchamma?

Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (68% chance), priced at 1.36.

Who will win EGS Gafsa vs Bouchamma?

EGS Gafsa win 44% of the time on our model, the draw 17%, Bouchamma 39%.

How many goals will there be in EGS Gafsa vs Bouchamma?

Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 42% for over 2.5 and 46% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for EGS Gafsa vs Bouchamma?

Kings Odds predicts EGS Gafsa 1–1 Bouchamma. Total goals projected: 2.4.

When is EGS Gafsa vs Bouchamma?

EGS Gafsa vs Bouchamma (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.