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USA: USL Championship· Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park Kick-off

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic prediction

New Mexico UnitedWWWLW
Mon 16 Nov 2026 xG 1.20 – 1.34
Sacramento RepublicWWWWD
Kings Odds predictionAway 0–1Small
Best tipUnder 3.5 goals74% chance · @1.30
Goals2.5 expectedOver 2.5 47% · BTTS 55%
1 · New Mexico United2.7036% chanceX · Draw3.3021% chance2 · Sacramento Republic2.3043% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 07:21 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 3.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.36

74%chance1.30odds8/10rating

Tips by market

ResultSacramento Republic to win43% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Sacramento Republic are on the road in the USL Championship on Monday 16 November, visiting New Mexico United (Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park) at 01:00 WAT. New Mexico United come in 1st with 52 points and Sacramento Republic 2nd with 51 – one top of the pile, the other in the top four. A gap of just 1 point – three points here could swing the table.

Current form

New Mexico United – last 5: WWWLW Latest result: they beat Colorado Springs 4–0 (home). Home form in that spell: 4 wins, 0 defeats in 4. 2.0 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Sacramento Republic – last 5: WWWWD Latest result: they beat El Paso Locomotive 2–1 (home). 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

Previous meeting (27 Sep 2026): New Mexico United 2–3 Sacramento Republic. Head-to-head over 2 games: New Mexico United 1, Sacramento Republic 1, draws 0 – 3.0 goals per game, GG in 1.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: New Mexico United 1.2 – 1.3 Sacramento Republic, about 2.5 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 47%, GG 55%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: New Mexico United 36%, draw 21%, Sacramento Republic 43%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 55% at 1.80.

Kings Odds tip

Our pick: Under 3.5 goals (74% chance, priced 1.30). Predicted score: New Mexico United 1–1 Sacramento Republic. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

New Mexico United36%fair 2.74 · @2.70
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.30
Sacramento Republic43%fair 2.32 · @2.30
2.53Expected goals
1.20New Mexico United xG
1.34Sacramento Republic xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: New Mexico United 1.2 – 1.3 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSacramento Republic to win43%2.322.30
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.811.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.881.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.361.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic23%4.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%11.79–

Recent results

New Mexico United – last 6

WWWLWW
8 Novvs Colorado Springs4–0W
2 Novvs Phoenix Rising2–0W
25 Oct@ El Paso Locomotive1–0W
18 Oct@ San Antonio0–1L
11 Octvs Monterey Bay3–1W
4 Octvs Phoenix Rising2–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sacramento Republic – last 6

WWWWDD
8 Novvs El Paso Locomotive2–1W
2 Novvs FC Tulsa1–0W
25 Octvs Oakland Roots3–2W
18 Oct@ El Paso Locomotive1–0W
11 Octvs Colorado Springs1–1D
4 Oct@ FC Tulsa1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Sep 2026New Mexico United v Sacramento Republic2–3
21 Jun 2026Sacramento Republic v New Mexico United0–1
New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (74% chance), priced at 1.30.

Who will win New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic?

New Mexico United win 36% of the time on our model, the draw 21%, Sacramento Republic 43%.

How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic?

Around 2.5 goals on our projection – 47% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic?

Kings Odds predicts New Mexico United 1–1 Sacramento Republic. Total goals projected: 2.5.

When is New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic?

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic (USL Championship) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.