♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 16:48 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Strong · fair odds 1.46
69%chance1.42odds7/10rating
Value
Belgium U21 to win @ 3.65 – our chance 37% vs 27% in the price (edge +36%)
Tips by market
ResultItaly U21 to win47% · @1.71
Double chanceEither team to win85% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%
Italy U21 vs Belgium U21 prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
The Friendlies brings Belgium U21 to Italy U21 on Monday 16 November, kick-off 18:15 WAT.
Current form
Italy U21 – last 5: WWWWW Latest result: they beat France U21 2–1 (away). Home form in that spell: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 3. They are scoring 3.0 per game, which defences will respect. 4 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.
Belgium U21 – last 5: WDWWL Latest result: they beat Germany U21 2–1 (away). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.
Form edge: Italy U21, with 3.0 points per game to 2.2.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Italy U21 1.4 – 1.2 Belgium U21, about 2.6 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 53%, GG 53%.
Value angle: Belgium U21 to win at 3.65 – our chance 37%, the price implies 27%.
Kings Odds tip
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals (69% chance, priced 1.42). Predicted score: Italy U21 1–1 Belgium U21. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Italy U2147%fair 2.11 · @1.71
Draw15%fair 6.56 · @3.80
Belgium U2137%fair 2.68 · @3.65
2.60Expected goals
1.41Italy U21 xG
1.19Belgium U21 xG
53%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–27%
0–07%
From our goals model: Italy U21 1.4 – 1.2 Belgium U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Italy U21 to win
47%
2.11
1.71
Double chance
Either team to win
85%
1.18
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.88
1.56
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.89
1.59
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.46
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Italy U21 / FT Italy U21
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.40
–
Recent results
Italy U21 – last 6
WWWWWW
13 Nov
@ France U21
2–1
W
5 Oct
vs Poland U21
6–2
W
1 Oct
@ Armenia U21
1–0
W
8 Jun
vs Albania U21
1–0
W
31 Mar
@ Sweden U21
4–0
W
26 Mar
vs North Macedonia U21
4–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Belgium U21 – last 6
WDWWLW
13 Nov
@ Germany U21
2–1
W
6 Oct
@ Denmark U21
0–0
D
29 Sep
vs Wales U21
1–0
W
24 Sep
vs Belarus U21
1–0
W
30 Mar
@ Netherlands U21
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Austria U21
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Italy U21 and Belgium U21.
Italy U21 vs Belgium U21 (Friendlies) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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