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Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion prediction

Deportivo RecoletaLWWDW
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG 1.26 – 1.43
Libertad AsuncionLWWLD
Kings Odds predictionAway 0–1Small
Best tipOver 1.5 goals74% chance · @1.24
Goals2.7 expectedOver 2.5 51% · BTTS 51%
1 · Deportivo Recoleta3.5238% chanceX · Draw3.2817% chance2 · Libertad Asuncion1.8946% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 14 Nov 2026, 14:48 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Over 1.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.35

74%chance1.24odds8/10rating
Value

Deportivo Recoleta to win @ 3.52 – our chance 38% vs 28% in the price (edge +33%)

Tips by market

ResultLibertad Asuncion to win46% · @1.89
Double chanceEither team to win83% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%

Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Libertad Asuncion are on the road in the Copa Paraguay on Saturday 14 November, visiting Deportivo Recoleta at 22:00 WAT.

Current form

Deportivo Recoleta – last 5: LWWDW Latest result: they fell to Olimpia 1–4 (away). 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded per game. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Libertad Asuncion – last 5: LWWLD Latest result: they fell to Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–2 (away). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

Previous meeting (5 Oct 2026): Deportivo Recoleta 1–2 Libertad Asuncion. Head-to-head over 3 games: Deportivo Recoleta 0, Libertad Asuncion 3, draws 0 – 3.0 goals per game, GG in 2.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Deportivo Recoleta 1.3 – 1.4 Libertad Asuncion, about 2.7 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 51%, GG 51%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Deportivo Recoleta 38%, draw 17%, Libertad Asuncion 46%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 51% at 1.69.
  • Value angle: Deportivo Recoleta to win at 3.52 – our chance 38%, the price implies 28%.

Kings Odds tip

Kings Odds tip: Over 1.5 goals (74% chance, priced 1.24). Predicted score: Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Libertad Asuncion. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Deportivo Recoleta38%fair 2.65 · @3.52
Draw17%fair 6.05 · @3.28
Libertad Asuncion46%fair 2.18 · @1.89
2.69Expected goals
1.26Deportivo Recoleta xG
1.43Libertad Asuncion xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Deportivo Recoleta 1.3 – 1.4 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLibertad Asuncion to win46%2.181.89
Double chanceEither team to win83%1.201.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.981.69
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.351.24
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals51%1.981.81
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals70%1.421.31
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.42–

Recent results

Deportivo Recoleta – last 6

LWWDWL
5 Nov@ Olimpia1–4L
31 Octvs Sportivo Ameliano3–0W
28 Oct@ Sportivo Luqueno2–0W
24 Oct@ 2 de Mayo1–1D
16 Octvs Rubio NU1–0W
12 Oct@ Nacional Asuncion0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Libertad Asuncion – last 6

LWWLDW
31 Oct@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo1–2L
27 Octvs Independiente F.b.c.3–1W
23 Octvs Sportivo Luqueno1–0W
18 Oct@ Sportivo Trinidense0–1L
11 Octvs Club Guarani2–2D
5 Oct@ Deportivo Recoleta2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Oct 2026Deportivo Recoleta v Libertad Asuncion1–2
30 Jul 2026Libertad Asuncion v Deportivo Recoleta4–1
31 Mar 2026Libertad Asuncion v Deportivo Recoleta1–0
Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (74% chance), priced at 1.24.

Who will win Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?

Deportivo Recoleta win 38% of the time on our model, the draw 17%, Libertad Asuncion 46%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?

Around 2.7 goals on our projection – 51% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?

Kings Odds predicts Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Libertad Asuncion. Total goals projected: 2.7.

When is Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?

Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion (Copa Paraguay) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.