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England: FA Trophy Kick-off

Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town prediction

Merthyr TownWDLLD
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG 1.40 – 1.38
Harborough TownLDLDW
Kings Odds predictionDraw 1–1Small
Best tipOver 1.5 goals75% chance · @1.22
Goals2.8 expectedOver 2.5 52% · BTTS 52%
1 · Merthyr Town2.0931% chanceX · Draw3.3439% chance2 · Harborough Town2.9330% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 04:59 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Over 1.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.33

75%chance1.22odds8/10rating
Value

Draw @ 3.34 – our chance 39% vs 30% in the price (edge +30%)

Tips by market

ResultDraw39% · @3.34
Double chanceMerthyr Town or draw70% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–26%

Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Harborough Town are on the road in the FA Trophy on Saturday 14 November, visiting Merthyr Town at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Merthyr Town – last 5: WDLLD Latest result: they beat Hebburn Town 4–1 (home). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.

Harborough Town – last 5: LDLDW Latest result: they fell to Leyton Orient 1–5 (away). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Merthyr Town 1.4 – 1.4 Harborough Town, about 2.8 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 52%, GG 52%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Merthyr Town 31%, draw 39%, Harborough Town 30%.
  • Double chance option: Merthyr Town or draw – 70% at 1.29.
  • GG/NG: yes – 52% at 1.62.
  • Value angle: Draw at 3.34 – our chance 39%, the price implies 30%.

Kings Odds tip

Our pick: Over 1.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.22). Predicted score: Merthyr Town 1–1 Harborough Town. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Merthyr Town31%fair 3.22 · @2.09
Draw39%fair 2.58 · @3.34
Harborough Town30%fair 3.31 · @2.93
2.77Expected goals
1.40Merthyr Town xG
1.38Harborough Town xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%

From our goals model: Merthyr Town 1.4 – 1.4 Harborough Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw39%2.583.34 ▲
Double chanceMerthyr Town or draw70%1.431.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.931.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.331.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.911.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.451.33
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Merthyr Town / FT Merthyr Town22%4.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–26%17.32–

Recent results

Merthyr Town – last 6

WDLLDD
7 Novvs Hebburn Town4–1W
31 Oct@ Radcliffe3–3D
27 Oct@ Oxford City0–3L
24 Octvs Morecambe1–3L
17 Octvs King's Lynn Town1–1D
10 Oct@ Darlington 18831–1D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Harborough Town – last 6

LDLDWW
7 Nov@ Leyton Orient1–5L
31 Oct@ Hebburn Town1–1D
27 Oct@ Buxton0–3L
24 Octvs Worksop Town1–1D
17 Octvs Spennymoor Town3–1W
10 Octvs Southport1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Merthyr Town and Harborough Town.

Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town?

Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (75% chance), priced at 1.22.

Who will win Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town?

Merthyr Town win 31% of the time on our model, the draw 39%, Harborough Town 30%.

How many goals will there be in Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town?

Around 2.8 goals on our projection – 52% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town?

Kings Odds predicts Merthyr Town 1–1 Harborough Town. Total goals projected: 2.8.

When is Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town?

Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.