♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 08:34 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Good · fair odds 1.58
63%chance1.47odds6/10rating
Tips by market
ResultVasco DA Gama to win66% · @1.44
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw83% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%
Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
Vasco DA Gama are on the road in the Serie A on Sunday 15 November, visiting Chapecoense-sc (Arena Condá) at 00:30 WAT. Table check: Chapecoense-sc are 20th with 21 points from 33 games (in the relegation places), Vasco DA Gama 13th on 41 (in the bottom half). A 20-point gap separates them – two very different seasons.
Current form
Chapecoense-sc – last 5: LLWLL Latest result: they fell to Mirassol 1–2 (home). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. A thin 0.7 goals per game – the goals have dried up.
Vasco DA Gama – last 5: WWLLW Latest result: they beat Palmeiras 2–1 (home). 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Form edge: Vasco DA Gama, with 1.5 points per game to 0.5.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Chapecoense-sc 0.9 – 2.1 Vasco DA Gama, about 3.0 in total. Goals look likely: over 2.5 at 58%, GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.
Markets to consider
1X2 chances: Chapecoense-sc 17%, draw 17%, Vasco DA Gama 66%.
GG/NG: yes – 58% at 1.72.
Kings Odds tip
Ade Ola's call: Under 3.5 goals (63% chance, priced 1.47). Predicted score: Chapecoense-sc 0–2 Vasco DA Gama. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Chapecoense-sc17%fair 5.92 · @6.30
Draw17%fair 5.91 · @4.50
Vasco DA Gama66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
2.97Expected goals
0.90Chapecoense-sc xG
2.07Vasco DA Gama xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Chapecoense-sc 0.9 – 2.1 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vasco DA Gama to win
66%
1.51
1.44
Double chance
Vasco DA Gama or draw
83%
1.20
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.73
1.72
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.59
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.47
Half-time result
Vasco DA Gama ahead at half-time
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vasco DA Gama / FT Vasco DA Gama
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Chapecoense-sc – last 6
LLWLLL
3 Nov
vs Mirassol
1–2
L
28 Oct
@ RB Bragantino
0–3
L
24 Oct
vs Fluminense
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Botafogo
0–1
L
12 Oct
vs Atletico Paranaense
1–4
L
8 Oct
@ Vitoria
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Vasco DA Gama – last 6
WWLLWL
8 Nov
vs Palmeiras
2–1
W
4 Nov
@ Atletico Paranaense
3–1
W
1 Nov
@ Palmeiras
0–1
L
30 Oct
vs Flamengo
1–4
L
24 Oct
vs Corinthians
3–2
W
21 Oct
vs Boca Juniors
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chapecoense-sc and Vasco DA Gama.
What is the prediction for Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (63% chance), priced at 1.47.
Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama?
Chapecoense-sc win 17% of the time on our model, the draw 17%, Vasco DA Gama 66%.
How many goals will there be in Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama?
Around 3.0 goals on our projection – 58% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama?
Kings Odds predicts Chapecoense-sc 0–2 Vasco DA Gama. Total goals projected: 3.0.
When is Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama?
Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Condá.
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
