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Brazil: Serie B· Estadio Castelão Kick-off

Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova prediction

Fortaleza ECLDDWD
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG 1.23 – 1.10
Vila NovaWDLDW
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Small
Best tipUnder 3.5 goals79% chance · @1.20
Goals2.3 expectedOver 2.5 41% · BTTS 53%
1 · Fortaleza EC2.3842% chanceX · Draw3.3022% chance2 · Vila Nova2.9036% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 07:01 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong · fair odds 1.27

79%chance1.20odds9/10rating
Value

Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% in the price (edge +7%)

Tips by market

ResultFortaleza EC to win42% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%

Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

The Serie B brings Vila Nova to Fortaleza EC on Saturday 14 November – Estadio Castelão hosts, kick-off 20:30 WAT. Fortaleza EC come in 5th with 62 points and Vila Nova 3rd with 66 – one in the top half, the other in the top four.

Current form

Fortaleza EC – last 5: LDDWD Latest result: they fell to Novorizontino 1–2 (away). 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded per game. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Vila Nova – last 5: WDLDW Latest result: they beat Criciuma 1–0 (home). 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Head to head

Previous meeting (22 Jul 2026): Vila Nova 2–1 Fortaleza EC.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Fortaleza EC 1.2 – 1.1 Vila Nova, about 2.3 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 41%, GG 53%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Fortaleza EC 42%, draw 22%, Vila Nova 36%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 53% at 2.00.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – our chance 53%, the price implies 50%.

Kings Odds tip

Ade Ola's call: Under 3.5 goals (79% chance, priced 1.20). Predicted score: Fortaleza EC 1–1 Vila Nova. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Fortaleza EC42%fair 2.36 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.30
Vila Nova36%fair 2.77 · @2.90
2.32Expected goals
1.23Fortaleza EC xG
1.10Vila Nova xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 1.2 – 1.1 Vila Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFortaleza EC to win42%2.362.38
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.271.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.872.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals67%1.501.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals59%1.711.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals79%1.271.20
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fortaleza EC / FT Fortaleza EC22%4.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.38–

Recent results

Fortaleza EC – last 6

LDDWDW
7 Nov@ Novorizontino1–2L
2 Novvs Atletico Goianiense0–0D
24 Oct@ Ponte Preta2–2D
17 Oct@ Sport Recife2–0W
12 Octvs CRB2–2D
8 Oct@ America Mineiro1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Vila Nova – last 6

WDLDWD
7 Novvs Criciuma1–0W
31 Octvs Juventude2–2D
24 Oct@ São Bernardo2–3L
18 Octvs Novorizontino2–2D
11 Oct@ Nautico Recife2–0W
8 Octvs Cuiaba0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Jul 2026Vila Nova v Fortaleza EC2–1
Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife38121016-1046
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina389821-1235
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub
America MineirovAvai Large Away 0–1 X2@1.22 3.843.621.82
Atletico GoianiensevCuiaba Large Home 1–0 U3.5@1.25 1.334.459.10
CRBvCeara Large Home 1–0 U3.5@1.41 1.364.607.50
CriciumavNovorizontino Small Away 0–1 U3.5@1.25 2.803.002.70
JuventudevBotafogo SP Large Home 1–0 U3.5@1.25 1.324.708.60
FT Ponte Preta0–2Operario-PR Medium Away 0–1 O1.5@1.21✓ 4.953.921.59
FT São Bernardo2–2Athletic Club Medium Home 1–0 1X@1.22✓ 1.883.443.80
Sport RecifevGoias Large Away 0–1 2@1.91 3.503.621.91

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (79% chance), priced at 1.20.

Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?

Fortaleza EC win 42% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Vila Nova 36%.

How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?

Around 2.3 goals on our projection – 41% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?

Kings Odds predicts Fortaleza EC 1–1 Vila Nova. Total goals projected: 2.3.

When is Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?

Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Castelão.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.