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Brazil: Serie B· Ilha do Retiro Kick-off

Sport Recife vs Goias prediction

Sport RecifeLDWLD
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG 0.83 – 1.83
GoiasWWWDW
Kings Odds predictionAway 0–1Large
Best tipGoias to win64% chance · @1.91
Goals2.7 expectedOver 2.5 52% · BTTS 57%
1 · Sport Recife3.5020% chanceX · Draw3.6217% chance2 · Goias1.9164% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 09:10 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Goias to win

Good · fair odds 1.56

64%chance1.91odds6/10rating

Tips by market

ResultGoias to win64% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win83% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%

Sport Recife vs Goias prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Fixture: Sport Recife vs Goias. Competition: Serie B. Kick-off: Saturday 14 November, 20:30 WAT. Ground: Ilha do Retiro. Table check: Sport Recife are 9th with 55 points from 37 games (in the top half), Goias 7th on 58 (in the top half). A gap of just 3 points – three points here could swing the table.

Current form

Sport Recife – last 5: LDWLD Latest result: they fell to Operario-PR 2–3 (away). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Goias – last 5: WWWDW Latest result: they beat Ponte Preta 1–0 (home). 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Form edge: Goias, with 2.7 points per game to 1.3.

Head to head

Previous meeting (23 Jul 2026): Goias 1–1 Sport Recife.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Sport Recife 0.8 – 1.8 Goias, about 2.7 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 52%, GG 57%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Sport Recife 20%, draw 17%, Goias 64%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 57% at 1.60.

Kings Odds tip

Our pick: Goias to win (64% chance, priced 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.56, which makes it a value play). Predicted score: Sport Recife 0–1 Goias. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Sport Recife20%fair 5.13 · @3.50
Draw17%fair 6.03 · @3.62
Goias64%fair 1.56 · @1.91
2.66Expected goals
0.83Sport Recife xG
1.83Goias xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%

From our goals model: Sport Recife 0.8 – 1.8 Goias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGoias to win64%1.561.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win83%1.201.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.771.60
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.321.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.911.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.451.37
Half-time resultGoias ahead at half-time43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Goias / FT Goias38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.29–

Recent results

Sport Recife – last 6

LDWLDW
6 Nov@ Operario-PR2–3L
31 Oct@ Botafogo SP1–1D
24 Octvs Criciuma2–1W
17 Octvs Fortaleza EC0–2L
11 Oct@ Atletico Goianiense1–1D
6 Octvs São Bernardo2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Goias – last 6

WWWDWW
8 Novvs Ponte Preta1–0W
3 Novvs CRB2–1W
28 Oct@ Ceara2–0W
19 Octvs Nautico Recife0–0D
11 Oct@ Operario-PR2–0W
7 Octvs Athletic Club2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026Goias v Sport Recife1–1
Sport Recife vs Goias head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife38121016-1046
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina389821-1235
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub
America MineirovAvai Large Away 0–1 X2@1.22 3.843.621.82
Atletico GoianiensevCuiaba Large Home 1–0 U3.5@1.25 1.334.459.10
CRBvCeara Large Home 1–0 U3.5@1.41 1.364.607.50
CriciumavNovorizontino Small Away 0–1 U3.5@1.25 2.803.002.70
Fortaleza ECvVila Nova Small Home 1–0 U3.5@1.20 2.383.302.90
JuventudevBotafogo SP Large Home 1–0 U3.5@1.25 1.324.708.60
FT Ponte Preta0–2Operario-PR Medium Away 0–1 O1.5@1.21✓ 4.953.921.59
FT São Bernardo2–2Athletic Club Medium Home 1–0 1X@1.22✓ 1.883.443.80

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sport Recife vs Goias?

Our tip is Goias to win (64% chance), priced at 1.91.

Who will win Sport Recife vs Goias?

Sport Recife win 20% of the time on our model, the draw 17%, Goias 64%.

How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Goias?

Around 2.7 goals on our projection – 52% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Goias?

Kings Odds predicts Sport Recife 0–1 Goias. Total goals projected: 2.7.

When is Sport Recife vs Goias?

Sport Recife vs Goias (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Ilha do Retiro.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.