Europe: UEFA Nations League· Wembley Stadium Full time

England vs Croatia prediction

EnglandWWWLW
2–1
FT xG 2.68 – 1.09
CroatiaLLLWL
Kings Odds prediction · correct ✓Home 2–1Large
Best tipOver 2.5 goals69% chance · @1.44
Goals3.8 expectedOver 2.5 69% · BTTS 58%
1 · England1.2768% chanceX · Draw6.0022% chance2 · Croatia9.0010% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 07:11 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip · Won ✓

Over 2.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.45

69%chance1.44odds7/10rating

Tips by market

ResultEngland to win ✓68% · @1.27
Double chanceEngland or draw ✓90% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%

England vs Croatia prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

England v Croatia, UEFA Nations League – Thursday 12 November, 20:45 WAT at Wembley Stadium. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. England come in 2nd with 12 points and Croatia 3rd with 3.

Current form

England – last 5: WWWLW Latest result: they beat Czechia 3–0 (home). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. They are scoring 3.5 per game, which defences will respect. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Croatia – last 5: LLLWL Latest result: they fell to Spain 1–2 (home). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded per game.

Form edge: England, with 2.0 points per game to 1.0.

Head to head

Previous meeting (3 Oct 2026): Croatia 0–7 England. Head-to-head over 2 games: England 2, Croatia 0, draws 0 – 6.5 goals per game, GG in 1.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: England 2.7 – 1.1 Croatia, about 3.8 in total. An open game is on the cards – 69% for 3+ goals and 58% for both teams scoring. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: England 68%, draw 22%, Croatia 10%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 58% at 1.80.

Our tip

Our pre-match tip was Over 2.5 goals (69% chance, priced 1.44). Predicted score: England 2–1 Croatia. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

England68%fair 1.47 · @1.27
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @6.00
Croatia10%fair 9.86 · @9.00
3.77Expected goals
2.68England xG
1.09Croatia xG
58%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: England 2.7 – 1.1 Croatia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEngland to win ✓68%1.471.27
Double chanceEngland or draw ✓90%1.111.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.711.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.931.67
Half-time resultEngland ahead at half-time ✓53%1.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT England / FT England ✓48%2.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.07–

Recent results

England – last 6

WWWLWL
6 Octvs Czechia3–0W
3 Oct@ Croatia7–0W
29 Sep@ Czechia2–0W
26 Sepvs Spain2–3L
18 Jul@ France6–4W
15 Julvs Argentina1–2L
3.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Croatia – last 6

LLLWLW
6 Octvs Spain1–2L
3 Octvs England0–7L
29 Sep@ Spain1–4L
26 Sep@ Czechia2–1W
3 Jul@ Portugal1–2L
27 Junvs Ghana2–1W
1.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Oct 2026Croatia v England0–7
17 Jun 2026England v Croatia4–2
England vs Croatia head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain5500+915
2England5401+1212
3Croatia5104-113
4Czechia5005-100

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for England vs Croatia?

Our tip is Over 2.5 goals (69% chance), priced at 1.44.

Who will win England vs Croatia?

England win 68% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Croatia 10%.

How many goals will there be in England vs Croatia?

Around 3.8 goals on our projection – 69% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for England vs Croatia?

Kings Odds predicts England 2–1 Croatia. Total goals projected: 3.8.

When is England vs Croatia?

England vs Croatia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Wembley Stadium.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.