♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 08:17 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Over 1.5 goals
Good · fair odds 1.49
67%chance1.35odds6/10rating
Value
Both teams to score @ 2.11 – our chance 52% vs 47% in the price (edge +10%)
Tips by market
ResultMozambique to win62% · @1.62
Double chanceMozambique or draw86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.11
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%
Mozambique vs Ethiopia prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
The Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification brings Ethiopia to Mozambique on Friday 13 November, kick-off 14:00 WAT. Table check: Mozambique are 2nd with 11 points from 6 games, Ethiopia 4th on 4.
Current form
Mozambique – last 3: WDL Latest result: they beat Sudan 4–1 (home). 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Ethiopia – last 5: LLDWW Latest result: they fell to Senegal 0–1 (home). 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded per game. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Mozambique 1.7 – 0.6 Ethiopia, about 2.3 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 42%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.11 – our chance 52%, the price implies 47%.
Kings Odds tip
Kings Odds tip: Over 1.5 goals (67% chance, priced 1.35). Predicted score: Mozambique 2–0 Ethiopia. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Mozambique62%fair 1.62 · @1.62
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.62
Ethiopia14%fair 7.25 · @5.37
2.30Expected goals
1.66Mozambique xG
0.64Ethiopia xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Mozambique 1.7 – 0.6 Ethiopia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mozambique to win
62%
1.62
1.62
Double chance
Mozambique or draw
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.92
2.11 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.49
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.72
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.19
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mozambique / FT Mozambique
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.28
–
Recent results
Mozambique – last 3
WDL
29 Sep
vs Sudan
4–1
W
25 Sep
vs Senegal
1–1
D
9 Jun
@ Indonesia
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ethiopia – last 6
LLDWWW
29 Sep
vs Senegal
0–1
L
25 Sep
@ Sudan
0–1
L
9 Jun
vs Malawi
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Malawi
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Sao Tome and Principe
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Sao Tome and Principe
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mozambique and Ethiopia.
What is the prediction for Mozambique vs Ethiopia?
Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (67% chance), priced at 1.35.
Who will win Mozambique vs Ethiopia?
Mozambique win 62% of the time on our model, the draw 25%, Ethiopia 14%.
How many goals will there be in Mozambique vs Ethiopia?
Around 2.3 goals on our projection – 42% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Mozambique vs Ethiopia?
Kings Odds predicts Mozambique 2–0 Ethiopia. Total goals projected: 2.3.
When is Mozambique vs Ethiopia?
Mozambique vs Ethiopia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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