Colombia: Primera A· Estadio Cincuentenario Kick-off

Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin prediction

Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG 1.38 – 1.22
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Small
Best tipUnder 3.5 goals73% chance · @1.30
Goals2.6 expectedOver 2.5 48% · BTTS 56%
1 · Águilas Doradas2.5543% chanceX · Draw3.3022% chance2 · Independiente Medellin2.7535% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 08:12 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 3.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.37

73%chance1.30odds8/10rating
Value

Águilas Doradas to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% in the price (edge +10%)

Tips by market

ResultÁguilas Doradas to win43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%

Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Águilas Doradas v Independiente Medellin, Primera A – Saturday 14 November, 21:30 WAT at Estadio Cincuentenario. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. Table check: Águilas Doradas are 10th with 25 points from 18 games (in the top half), Independiente Medellin 6th on 29 (in the top half).

Current form

Águilas Doradas – last 5: LWWLW Latest result: they fell to Once Caldas 0–1 (away). 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.

Independiente Medellin – last 5: WWLLL Latest result: they beat Fortaleza FC 3–0 (away). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 3 defeats in 4. 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.

Form edge: Águilas Doradas, with 1.7 points per game to 1.0.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Águilas Doradas 1.4 – 1.2 Independiente Medellin, about 2.6 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 48%, GG 56%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Águilas Doradas 43%, draw 22%, Independiente Medellin 35%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 56% at 1.73.
  • Value angle: Águilas Doradas to win at 2.55 – our chance 43%, the price implies 39%.

Kings Odds tip

Our pick: Under 3.5 goals (73% chance, priced 1.30). Predicted score: Águilas Doradas 1–1 Independiente Medellin. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Águilas Doradas43%fair 2.33 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Independiente Medellin35%fair 2.82 · @2.75
2.60Expected goals
1.38Águilas Doradas xG
1.22Independiente Medellin xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Águilas Doradas 1.4 – 1.2 Independiente Medellin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultÁguilas Doradas to win43%2.332.55 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.281.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.791.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals52%1.941.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals73%1.371.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Águilas Doradas / FT Águilas Doradas24%4.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.58–

Recent results

Águilas Doradas – last 6

LWWLWD
7 Nov@ Once Caldas0–1L
2 Novvs Fortaleza FC1–0W
28 Oct@ Cucuta2–0W
24 Oct@ Junior0–1L
18 Octvs Deportes Tolima2–1W
14 Oct@ Bucaramanga1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Independiente Medellin – last 6

WWLLLL
7 Nov@ Fortaleza FC3–0W
2 Novvs Alianza Valledupar2–1W
29 Oct@ Internacional de Bogota1–3L
26 Oct@ Atletico Nacional1–2L
18 Octvs Once Caldas0–2L
15 Oct@ Atletico Nacional2–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Águilas Doradas and Independiente Medellin.

Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (73% chance), priced at 1.30.

Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin?

Águilas Doradas win 43% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Independiente Medellin 35%.

How many goals will there be in Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin?

Around 2.6 goals on our projection – 48% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin?

Kings Odds predicts Águilas Doradas 1–1 Independiente Medellin. Total goals projected: 2.6.

When is Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin?

Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cincuentenario.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.