Japan: J3 League· Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu Kick-off

Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma prediction

Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG 1.90 – 1.03
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Medium
Best tipKitakyushu to win61% chance · @1.90
Goals2.9 expectedOver 2.5 57% · BTTS 54%
1 · Kitakyushu1.9061% chanceX · Draw3.5016% chance2 · Thespakusatsu Gunma3.2223% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 09:10 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Kitakyushu to win

Good · fair odds 1.64

61%chance1.90odds5/10rating

Tips by market

ResultKitakyushu to win61% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.51
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%

Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Fixture: Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma. Competition: J3 League. Kick-off: Saturday 14 November, 06:00 WAT. Ground: Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu. Table check: Kitakyushu are 13th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), Thespakusatsu Gunma 19th on 13 (in the relegation places).

Current form

Kitakyushu – last 5: LLWWL Latest result: they fell to FC Gifu 0–1 (away). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Thespakusatsu Gunma – last 5: LLLWL Latest result: they fell to Osaka 1–2 (home). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 3 defeats in 4. A thin 0.5 goals per game – the goals have dried up.

Form edge: Kitakyushu, with 1.5 points per game to 0.7.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Kitakyushu 1.9 – 1.0 Thespakusatsu Gunma, about 2.9 in total. Goals look likely: over 2.5 at 57%, GG at 54%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Kitakyushu 61%, draw 16%, Thespakusatsu Gunma 23%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 54% at 1.51.

Kings Odds tip

Kings Odds tip: Kitakyushu to win (61% chance, priced 1.90 – longer than our fair 1.64, which makes it a value play). Predicted score: Kitakyushu 1–0 Thespakusatsu Gunma. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Kitakyushu61%fair 1.64 · @1.90
Draw16%fair 6.28 · @3.50
Thespakusatsu Gunma23%fair 4.30 · @3.22
2.93Expected goals
1.90Kitakyushu xG
1.03Thespakusatsu Gunma xG
54%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Kitakyushu 1.9 – 1.0 Thespakusatsu Gunma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKitakyushu to win61%1.641.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win84%1.191.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.841.51
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.261.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals57%1.751.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.551.45
Half-time resultKitakyushu ahead at half-time42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kitakyushu / FT Kitakyushu36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.07–

Recent results

Kitakyushu – last 6

LLWWLW
7 Nov@ FC Gifu0–1L
3 Novvs Biwako Shiga0–1L
31 Oct@ Renofa Yamaguchi2–0W
25 Octvs Parceiro Nagano3–1W
21 Oct@ Fukushima United1–2L
17 Octvs Osaka3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Thespakusatsu Gunma – last 6

LLLWLD
7 Novvs Osaka1–2L
3 Nov@ Nara Club0–3L
31 Oct@ Kanazawa0–4L
24 Octvs Kamatamare Sanuki1–0W
21 Oct@ Matsumoto Yamaga0–2L
17 Oct@ Gainare Tottori1–1D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kitakyushu and Thespakusatsu Gunma.

Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma head-to-head page →

J3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nara Club161024+1232
2FC Gifu161015+1431
3Sagamihara16943+1131
4Kagoshima United16943+1031
5Renofa Yamaguchi16934+930
6Osaka16853+1129
7Ehime FC16925+629
8Roasso Kumamoto16664+624
9Kanazawa16727+723
10Parceiro Nagano16727+123
11FC Ryukyu16727023
12Tochigi SC16565-121
13Kitakyushu16547-319
14Fukushima United16538-218
15Matsumoto Yamaga16457-317
16Biwako Shiga16529-917
17Gainare Tottori16439-1515
18Kamatamare Sanuki164210-1014
19Thespakusatsu Gunma164111-1813
20Kochi United162311-269

More J3 League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

Our tip is Kitakyushu to win (61% chance), priced at 1.90.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

Kitakyushu win 61% of the time on our model, the draw 16%, Thespakusatsu Gunma 23%.

How many goals will there be in Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

Around 2.9 goals on our projection – 57% for over 2.5 and 54% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

Kings Odds predicts Kitakyushu 1–0 Thespakusatsu Gunma. Total goals projected: 2.9.

When is Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.