♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 05:52 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Good · fair odds 1.53
65%chance1.42odds6/10rating
Tips by market
ResultCastellón to win47% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%
Valladolid vs Castellón prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
Castellón are on the road in the Segunda División on Saturday 14 November, visiting Valladolid (Estadio José Zorrilla) at 14:00 WAT. Valladolid come in 12th with 18 points and Castellón 2nd with 27 – one in the bottom half, the other in the top four.
Current form
Valladolid – last 5: WWWLL Latest result: they beat Sporting Gijon 2–1 (away). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. 2.5 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now.
Castellón – last 5: DWWWL Latest result: they drew with Burgos 1–1 (away). Away form in that spell: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 4. They are scoring 2.0 per game, which defences will respect. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Valladolid 1.3 – 1.6 Castellón, about 2.9 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 56%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals (65% chance, priced 1.42). Predicted score: Valladolid 1–1 Castellón. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Valladolid33%fair 3.06 · @2.91
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.62
Castellón47%fair 2.11 · @2.20
2.89Expected goals
1.28Valladolid xG
1.61Castellón xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Valladolid 1.3 – 1.6 Castellón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellón to win
47%
2.11
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.25
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.16
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellón / FT Castellón
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Valladolid – last 6
WWWLLW
8 Nov
@ Sporting Gijon
2–1
W
2 Nov
vs Leganes
4–3
W
29 Oct
@ Covadonga
1–0
W
23 Oct
@ Granada CF
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Eldense
2–3
L
12 Oct
vs Albacete
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Castellón – last 6
DWWWLD
1 Nov
@ Burgos
1–1
D
29 Oct
@ Conquense
3–0
W
25 Oct
vs Sporting Gijon
4–0
W
17 Oct
@ Las Palmas
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ FC Andorra
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs AD Ceuta FC
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valladolid and Castellón.
What is the prediction for Valladolid vs Castellón?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (65% chance), priced at 1.42.
Who will win Valladolid vs Castellón?
Valladolid win 33% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Castellón 47%.
How many goals will there be in Valladolid vs Castellón?
Around 2.9 goals on our projection – 56% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Valladolid vs Castellón?
Kings Odds predicts Valladolid 1–1 Castellón. Total goals projected: 2.9.
When is Valladolid vs Castellón?
Valladolid vs Castellón (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio José Zorrilla.
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
