♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 07:32 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Good · fair odds 1.50
67%chance1.50odds6/10rating
Value
Ponferradina to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% in the price (edge +7%)
Tips by market
ResultPonferradina to win58% · @1.85
Double chancePonferradina or draw83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–020%
Ponferradina vs Cacereño prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
The Primera División RFEF Group 1 brings Cacereño to Ponferradina on Friday 13 November, kick-off 19:00 WAT. Table check: Ponferradina are 11th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), Cacereño 10th on 15 (in the top half). Level on points – three points here could swing the table.
Current form
Ponferradina – last 5: DDDDD Latest result: they drew with Cultural Leonesa 1–1 (away). A thin 0.5 goals per game – the goals have dried up.
Cacereño – last 5: LLWLD Latest result: they fell to Lugo 0–1 (home). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 3 defeats in 3. A thin 0.5 goals per game – the goals have dried up.
Head to head
Previous meeting (15 Mar 2026): Cacereño 0–0 Ponferradina.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Ponferradina 1.3 – 0.6 Cacereño, about 1.9 in total. This shapes up as a tight one – under 2.5 at 67%, with a clean sheet for one side the more likely outcome. Both teams' recent matches have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Double chance option: Ponferradina or draw – 83% at 1.18.
GG/NG: no – 56% at 1.57.
Value angle: Ponferradina to win at 1.85 – our chance 58%, the price implies 54%.
Kings Odds tip
Kings Odds tip: Under 2.5 goals (67% chance, priced 1.50). Predicted score: Ponferradina 1–0 Cacereño. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Ponferradina58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.00
Cacereño17%fair 5.90 · @3.90
1.89Expected goals
1.34Ponferradina xG
0.55Cacereño xG
44%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
0–015%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ponferradina 1.3 – 0.6 Cacereño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ponferradina vs Cacereño?
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals (67% chance), priced at 1.50.
Who will win Ponferradina vs Cacereño?
Ponferradina win 58% of the time on our model, the draw 25%, Cacereño 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ponferradina vs Cacereño?
Around 1.9 goals on our projection – 33% for over 2.5 and 44% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Ponferradina vs Cacereño?
Kings Odds predicts Ponferradina 1–0 Cacereño. Total goals projected: 1.9.
When is Ponferradina vs Cacereño?
Ponferradina vs Cacereño (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
