Free tips on Telegram
Bulgaria: Second League· Gradski stadion Kick-off

Nesebar vs Fratria prediction

NesebarLLLLD
Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 0.95 – 1.78
FratriaWLLLW
Kings Odds predictionAway 0–1Medium
Best tipOver 1.5 goals76% chance · @1.20
Goals2.7 expectedOver 2.5 52% · BTTS 57%
1 · Nesebar3.1225% chanceX · Draw3.4813% chance2 · Fratria1.9462% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 05:27 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Over 1.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.32

76%chance1.20odds8/10rating
Value

Fratria to win @ 1.94 – our chance 62% vs 52% in the price (edge +20%)

Tips by market

ResultFratria to win62% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%

Nesebar vs Fratria prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Fratria are on the road in the Second League on Sunday 15 November, visiting Nesebar (Gradski stadion) at 13:30 WAT. Table check: Nesebar are 14th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), Fratria 4th on 25 (in the top four).

Current form

Nesebar – last 5: LLLLD Latest result: they fell to Ludogorets II 0–2 (away). Home form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. A thin 0.5 goals per game – the goals have dried up.

Fratria – last 5: WLLLW Latest result: they beat Sportist Svoge 6–2 (home). They are scoring 2.3 per game, which defences will respect.

Form edge: Fratria, with 1.5 points per game to 0.3.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Nesebar 1.0 – 1.8 Fratria, about 2.7 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 52%, GG 57%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Nesebar 25%, draw 13%, Fratria 62%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 57% at 1.63.
  • Value angle: Fratria to win at 1.94 – our chance 62%, the price implies 52%.

Kings Odds tip

Kings Odds tip: Over 1.5 goals (76% chance, priced 1.20). Predicted score: Nesebar 1–1 Fratria. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Nesebar25%fair 4.02 · @3.12
Draw13%fair 7.51 · @3.48
Fratria62%fair 1.62 · @1.94
2.74Expected goals
0.95Nesebar xG
1.78Fratria xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
1–06%

From our goals model: Nesebar 1.0 – 1.8 Fratria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFratria to win62%1.621.94 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win87%1.151.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.751.63
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.321.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.921.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals70%1.441.32
Half-time resultFratria ahead at half-time41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fratria / FT Fratria35%2.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.18–

Recent results

Nesebar – last 6

LLLLDD
8 Nov@ Ludogorets II0–2L
31 Octvs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas1–2L
23 Oct@ Hebar 19181–2L
18 Octvs CSKA Sofia0–2L
10 Octvs CSKA Sofia II0–0D
4 Oct@ Rodopa Smolyan1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Fratria – last 6

WLLLWW
9 Novvs Sportist Svoge6–2W
28 Octvs Montana1–2L
18 Octvs Botev Vratsa1–2L
9 Oct@ Etar Veliko Tarnovo0–2L
3 Oct@ Balkan Botevgrad3–0W
27 Sepvs Spartak Pleven3–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nesebar and Fratria.

Nesebar vs Fratria head-to-head page →

Second League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia II15942+1831
2Vihren15852+1529
3Chernomorets 1919 Burgas15852+1429
4Fratria14743+1025
5Yantra 201915735+524
6Hebar 191815726+723
7Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa15654+123
8Beroe15645+322
9Ludogorets II14644+622
10Spartak Pleven15636-921
11Etar Veliko Tarnovo14635+121
12Rilski Sportist15555020
13Marek15537-418
14Nesebar15537-118
15Montana15438-1115
16Sportist Svoge15267-912
17Dobrudzha14248-1310
18Pirin Blagoevgrad150213-332

More Second League predictions

League hub
DobrudzhavEtar Veliko Tarnovo Medium Away 1–2 2@1.90 3.203.521.90
Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavCSKA Sofia II Small Away 0–1 U3.5@1.25 2.693.182.30
Rilski SportistvHebar 1918 Small Home 1–0 O1.5@1.23 2.193.282.77
Sportist SvogevSpartak Pleven Small Home 1–0 U3.5@1.20 2.123.123.04
Yantra 2019vLudogorets II Large Home 1–0 1@1.60 1.603.624.55
BeroevVihren Small Away 0–1 O1.5@1.25 2.893.322.11

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nesebar vs Fratria?

Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (76% chance), priced at 1.20.

Who will win Nesebar vs Fratria?

Nesebar win 25% of the time on our model, the draw 13%, Fratria 62%.

How many goals will there be in Nesebar vs Fratria?

Around 2.7 goals on our projection – 52% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Nesebar vs Fratria?

Kings Odds predicts Nesebar 1–1 Fratria. Total goals projected: 2.7.

When is Nesebar vs Fratria?

Nesebar vs Fratria (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.