Castellonense vs La Nucía prediction
Kings Odds prediction · missedHome 1–0Small
Best tipUnder 3.5 goals75% chance · @1.22
Goals2.5 expectedOver 2.5 46% · BTTS 53%
1 · Castellonense2.5044% chanceX · Draw2.9023% chance2 · La Nucía2.6233% chance
♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 08:40 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip · Lost ✗Under 3.5 goals
Strong · fair odds 1.34
75%chance1.22odds8/10rating
ValueCastellonense to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% in the price (edge +9%)
Tips by market
ResultCastellonense to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%
Castellonense vs La Nucía prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
La Nucía are on the road in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Wednesday 11 November, visiting Castellonense at 18:45 WAT. Castellonense come in 5th with 17 points and La Nucía 6th with 16 – one in the top half, the other in the top half. A gap of just 1 point – three points here could swing the table.
Current form
Castellonense – last 5: LDDWL Latest result: they fell to Alcoyano 3–4 (home). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.
La Nucía – last 5: WLLLL Latest result: they beat Atlético Baleares 2–1 (away). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Castellonense 1.4 – 1.2 La Nucía, about 2.5 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 46%, GG 53%.
Markets to consider
- 1X2 chances: Castellonense 44%, draw 23%, La Nucía 33%.
- GG/NG: yes – 53% at 1.83.
- Value angle: Castellonense to win at 2.50 – our chance 44%, the price implies 40%.
Our tip
Our pre-match tip was Under 3.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.22). Predicted score: Castellonense 1–1 La Nucía. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Castellonense44%fair 2.29 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @2.90
La Nucía33%fair 3.00 · @2.62
2.54Expected goals
1.38Castellonense xG
1.16La Nucía xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Castellonense 1.4 – 1.2 La Nucía expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|
| Match result | Castellonense to win ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | 2.50 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | 1.32 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Castellonense / FT Castellonense ✗ | 24% | 4.08 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.47 | – |
Recent results
Castellonense – last 6
LDDWLW
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
La Nucía – last 6
WLLLLW
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellonense and La Nucía.
Castellonense vs La Nucía head-to-head page →
Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table
More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Castellonense vs La Nucía?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (75% chance), priced at 1.22.
Who will win Castellonense vs La Nucía?
Castellonense win 44% of the time on our model, the draw 23%, La Nucía 33%.
How many goals will there be in Castellonense vs La Nucía?
Around 2.5 goals on our projection – 46% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Castellonense vs La Nucía?
Kings Odds predicts Castellonense 1–1 La Nucía. Total goals projected: 2.5.
When is Castellonense vs La Nucía?
Castellonense vs La Nucía (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
