Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 1.07 – 1.52
Kings Odds predictionAway 0–1Medium
Best tipUnder 3.5 goals72% chance · @1.28
Goals2.6 expectedOver 2.5 48% · BTTS 60%
1 · Las Palmas II2.5729% chanceX · Draw3.1021% chance2 · Ciudad de Lucena2.4650% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 08:28 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 3.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.38

72%chance1.28odds7/10rating
Value

Ciudad de Lucena to win @ 2.46 – our chance 50% vs 41% in the price (edge +23%)

Tips by market

ResultCiudad de Lucena to win50% · @2.46
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals72% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%

Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Las Palmas II v Ciudad de Lucena, Segunda División RFEF Group 4 – Sunday 15 November, 12:30 WAT. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. Las Palmas II come in 18th with 5 points and Ciudad de Lucena 3rd with 19 – one in the relegation places, the other in the top four. A 14-point gap separates them – two very different seasons.

Current form

Las Palmas II – last 5: LLLLD Latest result: they fell to Marbella 1–2 (away). Home form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. A thin 0.7 goals per game – the goals have dried up.

Ciudad de Lucena – last 5: DWLDW Latest result: they drew with Badajoz 1–1 (home). 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Form edge: Ciudad de Lucena, with 1.8 points per game to 0.2.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Las Palmas II 1.1 – 1.5 Ciudad de Lucena, about 2.6 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 48%, GG 60%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Las Palmas II 29%, draw 21%, Ciudad de Lucena 50%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 60% at 1.69.
  • Value angle: Ciudad de Lucena to win at 2.46 – our chance 50%, the price implies 41%.

Kings Odds tip

Ade Ola's call: Under 3.5 goals (72% chance, priced 1.28). Predicted score: Las Palmas II 1–1 Ciudad de Lucena. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Las Palmas II29%fair 3.45 · @2.57
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.10
Ciudad de Lucena50%fair 2.00 · @2.46
2.58Expected goals
1.07Las Palmas II xG
1.52Ciudad de Lucena xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Las Palmas II 1.1 – 1.5 Ciudad de Lucena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCiudad de Lucena to win50%2.002.46 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.271.26
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score60%1.661.69
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.381.26
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals52%1.941.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals72%1.381.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ciudad de Lucena / FT Ciudad de Lucena28%3.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.80–

Recent results

Las Palmas II – last 6

LLLLDL
8 Nov@ Marbella1–2L
1 Novvs Atlético Central0–1L
25 Oct@ Sanluqueño1–4L
18 Octvs Puente Genil1–2L
11 Octvs Tenerife II1–1D
4 Oct@ Recreativo Huelva0–4L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ciudad de Lucena – last 6

DWLDWW
8 Novvs Badajoz1–1D
1 Novvs Sanluqueño2–1W
27 Octvs Rayo Majadahonda0–1L
24 Oct@ Estepona2–2D
18 Oct@ Xerez1–0W
11 Octvs Don Benito4–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Las Palmas II and Ciudad de Lucena.

Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Recreativo Huelva10631+1321
2Don Benito10622+520
3Ciudad de Lucena10541+719
4Badajoz10451+317
5Real Betis II9432+515
6Xerez10433+515
7Mijas Las Lagunas10361+415
8Estepona10433+315
9Atlético Central10505-215
10Sevilla Atletico10352+214
11Linares Deportivo10352014
12Puente Genil10334+112
13Sanluqueño10244-310
14Tenerife II9315-310
15Marbella10244-310
16Antoniano10136-96
17Tamaraceite10208-156
18Las Palmas II10127-135

More Segunda División RFEF Group 4 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (72% chance), priced at 1.28.

Who will win Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena?

Las Palmas II win 29% of the time on our model, the draw 21%, Ciudad de Lucena 50%.

How many goals will there be in Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena?

Around 2.6 goals on our projection – 48% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena?

Kings Odds predicts Las Palmas II 1–1 Ciudad de Lucena. Total goals projected: 2.6.

When is Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena?

Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.