1 · Las Palmas II2.5729% chanceX · Draw3.1021% chance2 · Ciudad de Lucena2.4650% chance
♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 08:28 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Strong · fair odds 1.38
72%chance1.28odds7/10rating
Value
Ciudad de Lucena to win @ 2.46 – our chance 50% vs 41% in the price (edge +23%)
Tips by market
ResultCiudad de Lucena to win50% · @2.46
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals72% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%
Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
Las Palmas II v Ciudad de Lucena, Segunda División RFEF Group 4 – Sunday 15 November, 12:30 WAT. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. Las Palmas II come in 18th with 5 points and Ciudad de Lucena 3rd with 19 – one in the relegation places, the other in the top four. A 14-point gap separates them – two very different seasons.
Current form
Las Palmas II – last 5: LLLLD Latest result: they fell to Marbella 1–2 (away). Home form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. A thin 0.7 goals per game – the goals have dried up.
Ciudad de Lucena – last 5: DWLDW Latest result: they drew with Badajoz 1–1 (home). 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Form edge: Ciudad de Lucena, with 1.8 points per game to 0.2.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Las Palmas II 1.1 – 1.5 Ciudad de Lucena, about 2.6 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 48%, GG 60%.
Markets to consider
1X2 chances: Las Palmas II 29%, draw 21%, Ciudad de Lucena 50%.
GG/NG: yes – 60% at 1.69.
Value angle: Ciudad de Lucena to win at 2.46 – our chance 50%, the price implies 41%.
Kings Odds tip
Ade Ola's call: Under 3.5 goals (72% chance, priced 1.28). Predicted score: Las Palmas II 1–1 Ciudad de Lucena. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Las Palmas II29%fair 3.45 · @2.57
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.10
Ciudad de Lucena50%fair 2.00 · @2.46
2.58Expected goals
1.07Las Palmas II xG
1.52Ciudad de Lucena xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Las Palmas II 1.1 – 1.5 Ciudad de Lucena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ciudad de Lucena to win
50%
2.00
2.46 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.66
1.69
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ciudad de Lucena / FT Ciudad de Lucena
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
Las Palmas II – last 6
LLLLDL
8 Nov
@ Marbella
1–2
L
1 Nov
vs Atlético Central
0–1
L
25 Oct
@ Sanluqueño
1–4
L
18 Oct
vs Puente Genil
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Tenerife II
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Recreativo Huelva
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ciudad de Lucena – last 6
DWLDWW
8 Nov
vs Badajoz
1–1
D
1 Nov
vs Sanluqueño
2–1
W
27 Oct
vs Rayo Majadahonda
0–1
L
24 Oct
@ Estepona
2–2
D
18 Oct
@ Xerez
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Don Benito
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Palmas II and Ciudad de Lucena.
What is the prediction for Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (72% chance), priced at 1.28.
Who will win Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Las Palmas II win 29% of the time on our model, the draw 21%, Ciudad de Lucena 50%.
How many goals will there be in Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Around 2.6 goals on our projection – 48% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Kings Odds predicts Las Palmas II 1–1 Ciudad de Lucena. Total goals projected: 2.6.
When is Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Las Palmas II vs Ciudad de Lucena (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.