Japan: J2 League· NACK5 Stadium Omiya Kick-off

Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata prediction

Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG 1.91 – 0.98
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Medium
Best tipUnder 3.5 goals64% chance · @1.53
Goals2.9 expectedOver 2.5 58% · BTTS 58%
1 · Omiya Ardija1.5961% chanceX · Draw4.0519% chance2 · Montedio Yamagata4.1521% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 06:58 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 3.5 goals

Good · fair odds 1.57

64%chance1.53odds6/10rating

Tips by market

ResultOmiya Ardija to win61% · @1.59
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%

Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Omiya Ardija v Montedio Yamagata, J2 League – Saturday 14 November, 06:00 WAT at NACK5 Stadium Omiya. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. Omiya Ardija come in 5th with 30 points and Montedio Yamagata 14th with 19 – one in the top half, the other in the bottom half.

Current form

Omiya Ardija – last 5: WWWDL Latest result: they beat Tochigi City 3–0 (away). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Montedio Yamagata – last 5: LWWLL Latest result: they fell to Iwaki 0–2 (away). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. A thin 0.5 goals per game – the goals have dried up.

Form edge: Omiya Ardija, with 1.7 points per game to 1.2.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Omiya Ardija 1.9 – 1.0 Montedio Yamagata, about 2.9 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 58%, GG 58%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Omiya Ardija 61%, draw 19%, Montedio Yamagata 21%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 58% at 1.52.

Kings Odds tip

Ade Ola's call: Under 3.5 goals (64% chance, priced 1.53). Predicted score: Omiya Ardija 1–0 Montedio Yamagata. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Omiya Ardija61%fair 1.65 · @1.59
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @4.05
Montedio Yamagata21%fair 4.87 · @4.15
2.88Expected goals
1.91Omiya Ardija xG
0.98Montedio Yamagata xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%

From our goals model: Omiya Ardija 1.9 – 1.0 Montedio Yamagata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOmiya Ardija to win61%1.651.59
Double chanceEither team to win81%1.231.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.721.52
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.251.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.721.47
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.571.53
Half-time resultOmiya Ardija ahead at half-time43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Omiya Ardija / FT Omiya Ardija37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.07–

Recent results

Omiya Ardija – last 6

WWWDLL
8 Nov@ Tochigi City3–0W
3 Novvs Iwaki2–1W
31 Oct@ Vegalta Sendai2–1W
24 Octvs Yokohama FC2–2D
21 Octvs Kataller Toyama0–3L
17 Oct@ Sagan Tosu1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Montedio Yamagata – last 6

LWWLLD
7 Nov@ Iwaki0–2L
3 Novvs Tokushima Vortis1–0W
31 Oct@ Vanraure Hachinohe2–1W
25 Octvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–2L
21 Octvs Consadole Sapporo0–2L
17 Oct@ Fujieda MYFC0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Omiya Ardija and Montedio Yamagata.

Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (64% chance), priced at 1.53.

Who will win Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata?

Omiya Ardija win 61% of the time on our model, the draw 19%, Montedio Yamagata 21%.

How many goals will there be in Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata?

Around 2.9 goals on our projection – 58% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata?

Kings Odds predicts Omiya Ardija 1–0 Montedio Yamagata. Total goals projected: 2.9.

When is Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata?

Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at NACK5 Stadium Omiya.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.