Churriana Vega vs Motril prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 1.13 – 1.28
MotrilDDLWD
Kings Odds predictionAway 0–1Small
Best tipOver 1.5 goals68% chance · @1.36
Goals2.4 expectedOver 2.5 43% · BTTS 48%
1 · Churriana Vega3.2438% chanceX · Draw3.0217% chance2 · Motril2.0745% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 08:21 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Over 1.5 goals

Good · fair odds 1.47

68%chance1.36odds7/10rating
Value

Churriana Vega to win @ 3.24 – our chance 38% vs 31% in the price (edge +22%)

Tips by market

ResultMotril to win45% · @2.07
Double chanceEither team to win83% · @1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112%

Churriana Vega vs Motril prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Motril are on the road in the Tercera División RFEF Group 9 on Sunday 15 November, visiting Churriana Vega at 12:30 WAT. Table check: Churriana Vega are 7th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), Motril 6th on 17 (in the top half). A gap of just 2 points – three points here could swing the table.

Current form

Churriana Vega – last 5: WDDDW Latest result: they beat Atletico de Marbella 2–0 (home). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Motril – last 5: DDLWD Latest result: they drew with Almería II 0–0 (home). Away form in that spell: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Form edge: Churriana Vega, with 2.0 points per game to 1.5.

Head to head

Previous meeting (24 May 2026): Motril 0–0 Churriana Vega. Head-to-head over 2 games: Churriana Vega 0, Motril 0, draws 2 – 1.0 goals per game, GG in 1.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Churriana Vega 1.1 – 1.3 Motril, about 2.4 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 43%, GG 48%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Churriana Vega 38%, draw 17%, Motril 45%.
  • GG/NG: no – 52% at 1.76.
  • Value angle: Churriana Vega to win at 3.24 – our chance 38%, the price implies 31%.

Kings Odds tip

Ade Ola's call: Over 1.5 goals (68% chance, priced 1.36). Predicted score: Churriana Vega 1–1 Motril. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Churriana Vega38%fair 2.65 · @3.24
Draw17%fair 5.78 · @3.02
Motril45%fair 2.22 · @2.07
2.40Expected goals
1.13Churriana Vega xG
1.28Motril xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Churriana Vega 1.1 – 1.3 Motril expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMotril to win45%2.222.07
Double chanceEither team to win83%1.211.27 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.941.76
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals68%1.471.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals57%1.751.59
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals77%1.291.17
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Motril / FT Motril23%4.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112%8.66–

Recent results

Churriana Vega – last 6

WDDDWW
8 Novvs Atletico de Marbella2–0W
1 Nov@ Almería II0–0D
25 Octvs Granada II0–0D
18 Oct@ Málaga II1–1D
11 Octvs Cantoria3–0W
4 Oct@ Atlético Porcuna3–2W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Motril – last 6

DDLWDW
8 Novvs Almería II0–0D
1 Nov@ Granada II1–1D
25 Octvs Málaga II2–4L
18 Oct@ Cantoria2–0W
11 Octvs Atlético Porcuna1–1D
4 Oct@ UD San Pedro3–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Motril v Churriana Vega0–0
17 May 2026Churriana Vega v Motril1–1
Churriana Vega vs Motril head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 9 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arenas Armilla11650+1023
2Melilla10721+1023
3Ciudad de Torredonjimeno10622+920
4Málaga II11542+919
5Almería II10541+819
6Motril10451+417
7Churriana Vega10433+515
8Marbelli10433015
9UD San Pedro10505-215
10Granada II10343+313
11Huétor Vega10343-213
12Atlético Porcuna10343-613
13Torre del Mar10334-112
14Alhaurino10235-49
15Atletico de Marbella10145-67
16Mancha Real10145-87
17Cantoria10046-114
18Malaga City100010-180

More Tercera División RFEF Group 9 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Churriana Vega vs Motril?

Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (68% chance), priced at 1.36.

Who will win Churriana Vega vs Motril?

Churriana Vega win 38% of the time on our model, the draw 17%, Motril 45%.

How many goals will there be in Churriana Vega vs Motril?

Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 43% for over 2.5 and 48% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Churriana Vega vs Motril?

Kings Odds predicts Churriana Vega 1–1 Motril. Total goals projected: 2.4.

When is Churriana Vega vs Motril?

Churriana Vega vs Motril (Tercera División RFEF Group 9) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.