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Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United prediction

Murang'a SEALDWLWL
Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 1.69 – 0.88
Mathare UnitedLWLDL
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Medium
Best tipMurang'a SEAL to win60% chance · @2.10
Goals2.6 expectedOver 2.5 44% · BTTS 47%
1 · Murang'a SEAL2.1060% chanceX · Draw3.0517% chance2 · Mathare United3.1423% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 14 Nov 2026, 14:48 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Murang'a SEAL to win

Good · fair odds 1.67

60%chance2.10odds5/10rating

Tips by market

ResultMurang'a SEAL to win60% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win83% · @1.26
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013%

Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Fixture: Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United. Competition: FKF Premier League. Kick-off: Sunday 15 November, 13:00 WAT. Table check: Murang'a SEAL are 8th with 8 points from 6 games (in the top half), Mathare United 16th on 5 (in the relegation places). A gap of just 3 points – three points here could swing the table.

Current form

Murang'a SEAL – last 5: DWLWL Latest result: they drew with Ulinzi Stars 2–2 (home). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. They are scoring 2.2 per game, which defences will respect.

Mathare United – last 5: LWLDL Latest result: they fell to Posta Rangers FC 1–2 (home). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. A thin 0.7 goals per game – the goals have dried up.

Head to head

Previous meeting (22 Mar 2026): Murang'a SEAL 1–1 Mathare United.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Murang'a SEAL 1.7 – 0.9 Mathare United, about 2.6 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 44%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Murang'a SEAL 60%, draw 17%, Mathare United 23%.
  • GG/NG: no – 53% at 1.71.

Kings Odds tip

Our pick: Murang'a SEAL to win (60% chance, priced 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.67, which makes it a value play). Predicted score: Murang'a SEAL 1–0 Mathare United. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Murang'a SEAL60%fair 1.67 · @2.10
Draw17%fair 5.82 · @3.05
Mathare United23%fair 4.38 · @3.14
2.57Expected goals
1.69Murang'a SEAL xG
0.88Mathare United xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Murang'a SEAL 1.7 – 0.9 Mathare United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMurang'a SEAL to win60%1.672.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win83%1.211.26
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score53%1.901.71
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.451.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals56%1.781.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals77%1.301.14
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Murang'a SEAL / FT Murang'a SEAL35%2.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013%7.74–

Recent results

Murang'a SEAL – last 6

DWLWLD
8 Novvs Ulinzi Stars2–2D
28 Octvs Nairobi United3–2W
25 Oct@ 3K1–2L
18 Octvs Posta Rangers FC5–1W
13 Oct@ GOR Mahia2–4L
2 Oct@ APS Bomet0–0D
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Mathare United – last 6

LWLDLD
7 Novvs Posta Rangers FC1–2L
29 Octvs Tusker2–1W
17 Oct@ KCB0–1L
10 Octvs APS Bomet0–0D
2 Oct@ Ulinzi Stars1–2L
11 Sep@ Migori Youth0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Murang'a SEAL v Mathare United1–1
Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub
Kenya PolicevPosta Rangers FC Large Home 1–0 1@1.75 1.753.104.70
TuskervShabana Small Home 1–0 U2.5@1.41 2.072.893.42
HomeboyzvKCB Small Away 0–1 O1.5@1.41 2.552.962.55
AFC LeopardsvMombasa Elite Large Home 1–0 U2.5@1.62 1.473.556.60
3KvGOR Mahia Large Away 1–2 2@1.50 6.003.651.50

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?

Our tip is Murang'a SEAL to win (60% chance), priced at 2.10.

Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?

Murang'a SEAL win 60% of the time on our model, the draw 17%, Mathare United 23%.

How many goals will there be in Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?

Around 2.6 goals on our projection – 44% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?

Kings Odds predicts Murang'a SEAL 1–0 Mathare United. Total goals projected: 2.6.

When is Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?

Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.