Kenya: FKF Premier League Kick-off

Tusker vs Shabana prediction

TuskerLLDLW
Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 1.04 – 0.84
ShabanaWDDDW
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Small
Best tipUnder 2.5 goals68% chance · @1.41
Goals1.9 expectedOver 2.5 32% · BTTS 41%
1 · Tusker2.0746% chanceX · Draw2.8918% chance2 · Shabana3.4236% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 14 Nov 2026, 14:48 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 2.5 goals

Good · fair odds 1.48

68%chance1.41odds7/10rating
Value

Shabana to win @ 3.42 – our chance 36% vs 29% in the price (edge +23%)

Tips by market

ResultTusker to win46% · @2.07
Double chanceEither team to win82% · @1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score59% · @1.58
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016%

Tusker vs Shabana prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Shabana are on the road in the FKF Premier League on Sunday 15 November, visiting Tusker at 12:00 WAT. Table check: Tusker are 11th with 6 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), Shabana 5th on 9 (in the top half). A gap of just 3 points – three points here could swing the table.

Current form

Tusker – last 5: LLDLW Latest result: they fell to Bandari 0–1 (away). 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Shabana – last 5: WDDDW Latest result: they beat Mombasa Elite 3–2 (away). Away form in that spell: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. A thin 0.8 goals per game – the goals have dried up. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Head to head

Previous meeting (21 Feb 2026): Shabana 1–0 Tusker.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Tusker 1.0 – 0.8 Shabana, about 1.9 in total. This shapes up as a tight one – under 2.5 at 68%, with a clean sheet for one side the more likely outcome. Both teams' recent matches have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Tusker 46%, draw 18%, Shabana 36%.
  • GG/NG: no – 59% at 1.58.
  • Value angle: Shabana to win at 3.42 – our chance 36%, the price implies 29%.

Kings Odds tip

Kings Odds tip: Under 2.5 goals (68% chance, priced 1.41). Predicted score: Tusker 1–0 Shabana. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Tusker46%fair 2.16 · @2.07
Draw18%fair 5.63 · @2.89
Shabana36%fair 2.78 · @3.42
1.88Expected goals
1.04Tusker xG
0.84Shabana xG
41%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Tusker 1.0 – 0.8 Shabana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTusker to win46%2.162.07
Double chanceEither team to win82%1.221.29 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score59%1.711.58
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals58%1.711.51
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals68%1.481.41
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals85%1.181.11
Half-time resultLevel at half-time51%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016%6.32–

Recent results

Tusker – last 6

LLDLWW
8 Nov@ Bandari0–1L
29 Oct@ Mathare United1–2L
25 Oct@ Singida Black Stars1–1D
18 Octvs Singida Black Stars0–1L
11 Oct@ Ulinzi Stars2–0W
2 Octvs Mara Sugar3–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Shabana – last 6

WDDDWL
7 Nov@ Mombasa Elite3–2W
29 Octvs Migori Youth1–1D
25 Oct@ AFC Leopards0–0D
18 Octvs Nairobi United0–0D
10 Oct@ Posta Rangers FC1–0W
2 Octvs Police0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Shabana v Tusker1–0
Tusker vs Shabana head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tusker vs Shabana?

Our tip is Under 2.5 goals (68% chance), priced at 1.41.

Who will win Tusker vs Shabana?

Tusker win 46% of the time on our model, the draw 18%, Shabana 36%.

How many goals will there be in Tusker vs Shabana?

Around 1.9 goals on our projection – 32% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Tusker vs Shabana?

Kings Odds predicts Tusker 1–0 Shabana. Total goals projected: 1.9.

When is Tusker vs Shabana?

Tusker vs Shabana (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.