Mexico: Liga Premier Serie A Kick-off

Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca prediction

Fri 13 Nov 2026 xG 1.68 – 1.44
Kings Odds predictionHome 2–1Small
Best tipOver 1.5 goals78% chance · @1.23
Goals3.1 expectedOver 2.5 56% · BTTS 60%
1 · Calor de San Pedro2.0145% chanceX · Draw3.2521% chance2 · Real Apodaca3.1535% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 08:56 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Over 1.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.29

78%chance1.23odds9/10rating
Value

Real Apodaca to win @ 3.15 – our chance 35% vs 32% in the price (edge +9%)

Tips by market

ResultCalor de San Pedro to win45% · @2.01
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%

Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Calor de San Pedro v Real Apodaca, Liga Premier Serie A – Friday 13 November, 22:30 WAT. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. Table check: Calor de San Pedro are 7th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), Real Apodaca 9th on 9 (in the top half).

Current form

Calor de San Pedro – last 5: WLLLW Latest result: they beat Héroes de Zaci 1–0 (away). 1.8 scored and 3.0 conceded per game.

Real Apodaca – last 5: WLDLL Latest result: they beat Dragones de Oaxaca 3–0 (home). 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Calor de San Pedro 1.7 – 1.4 Real Apodaca, about 3.1 in total. Goals look likely: over 2.5 at 56%, GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Calor de San Pedro 45%, draw 21%, Real Apodaca 35%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 60% at 1.65.
  • Value angle: Real Apodaca to win at 3.15 – our chance 35%, the price implies 32%.

Kings Odds tip

Our pick: Over 1.5 goals (78% chance, priced 1.23). Predicted score: Calor de San Pedro 1–1 Real Apodaca. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Calor de San Pedro45%fair 2.23 · @2.01
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.25
Real Apodaca35%fair 2.88 · @3.15
3.12Expected goals
1.68Calor de San Pedro xG
1.44Real Apodaca xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–26%
0–16%

From our goals model: Calor de San Pedro 1.7 – 1.4 Real Apodaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCalor de San Pedro to win45%2.232.01
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.261.23
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score60%1.661.65
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals78%1.291.23
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals56%1.791.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals65%1.531.32
Half-time resultLevel at half-time39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Calor de San Pedro / FT Calor de San Pedro26%3.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.16–

Recent results

Calor de San Pedro – last 6

WLLLWL
7 Nov@ Héroes de Zaci1–0W
31 Octvs Correcaminos UAT II1–4L
25 Oct@ Mineros de Fresnillo1–4L
16 Octvs Delfines Coatzacoalcos1–2L
10 Oct@ Cañoneros Marina7–1W
27 Sep@ Halcones Negros0–7L
1.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Real Apodaca – last 6

WLDLLL
8 Novvs Dragones de Oaxaca3–0W
3 Nov@ Halcones Negros0–1L
25 Octvs Guerreros del Pacifico3–3D
17 Oct@ FC Santiago0–3L
11 Octvs Correcaminos UAT II0–1L
4 Octvs Vaqueros Reynosa1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Calor de San Pedro and Real Apodaca.

Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca head-to-head page →

Liga Premier Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago11713+2024
2Acatlan11713+523
3La Tribu de Cd. Juarez11704+1822
4Mineros de Fresnillo11632+1122
5Correcaminos UAT II11623+420
6Vaqueros Reynosa11524+118
7Guerreros10424015
8Atlético Saltillo10406-711
9Real Apodaca11317-79
10Héroes de Zaci10019-262
1Dragones de Oaxaca11722+1625
2Artesanos Metepec11731+1425
3Acambaro11713+1723
4Delfines Coatzacoalcos11533+419
5Halcones Negros11515+417
6Guerreros del Pacifico11416+117
7Calor de San Pedro11416-716
8Real Refineros11515-515
9Ciervos11209-275
10Cañoneros Marina100010-360

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca?

Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (78% chance), priced at 1.23.

Who will win Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca?

Calor de San Pedro win 45% of the time on our model, the draw 21%, Real Apodaca 35%.

How many goals will there be in Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca?

Around 3.1 goals on our projection – 56% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca?

Kings Odds predicts Calor de San Pedro 1–1 Real Apodaca. Total goals projected: 3.1.

When is Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca?

Calor de San Pedro vs Real Apodaca (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.