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Sydney United vs South Melbourne prediction

Sydney UnitedLWDDW
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG 1.22 – 1.40
South MelbourneDWDWD
Kings Odds predictionAway 0–1Small
Best tipOver 1.5 goals75% chance · @1.22
Goals2.6 expectedOver 2.5 52% · BTTS 60%
1 · Sydney United2.3036% chanceX · Draw3.5020% chance2 · South Melbourne2.6044% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 09:10 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Over 1.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.33

75%chance1.22odds8/10rating
Value

South Melbourne to win @ 2.60 – our chance 44% vs 38% in the price (edge +15%)

Tips by market

ResultSouth Melbourne to win44% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%

Sydney United vs South Melbourne prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Fixture: Sydney United vs South Melbourne. Competition: Australian Championship. Kick-off: Saturday 14 November, 05:00 WAT. Ground: Sydney United Sports Centre. Table check: Sydney United are 2nd with 6 points from 4 games (in the top four), South Melbourne 1st on 10 (top of the pile).

Current form

Sydney United – last 5: LWDDW Latest result: they fell to Canberra FC 1–2 (away). 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

South Melbourne – last 5: DWDWD Latest result: they drew with Sutherland Sharks 0–0 (home). 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Head to head

Previous meeting (23 Oct 2026): South Melbourne 1–1 Sydney United.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Sydney United 1.2 – 1.4 South Melbourne, about 2.6 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 52%, GG 60%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Sydney United 36%, draw 20%, South Melbourne 44%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 60% at 1.62.
  • Value angle: South Melbourne to win at 2.60 – our chance 44%, the price implies 38%.

Kings Odds tip

Ade Ola's call: Over 1.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.22). Predicted score: Sydney United 1–1 South Melbourne. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Sydney United36%fair 2.79 · @2.30
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.50
South Melbourne44%fair 2.26 · @2.60
2.62Expected goals
1.22Sydney United xG
1.40South Melbourne xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Sydney United 1.2 – 1.4 South Melbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouth Melbourne to win44%2.262.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score60%1.661.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.331.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.941.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals70%1.431.40
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne24%4.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.49–

Recent results

Sydney United – last 6

LWDDWW
6 Nov@ Canberra FC1–2L
31 Oct@ Sutherland Sharks2–1W
23 Oct@ South Melbourne1–1D
18 Octvs Canberra FC1–1D
13 Sep@ APIA Leichhardt Tigers3–1W
6 Sepvs Manly United3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

South Melbourne – last 6

DWDWDW
7 Novvs Sutherland Sharks0–0D
29 Oct@ Canberra FC2–0W
23 Octvs Sydney United1–1D
17 Oct@ Sutherland Sharks1–0W
10 Octvs Melbourne Victory0–0D
15 Sepvs Lions3–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Oct 2026South Melbourne v Sydney United1–1
Sydney United vs South Melbourne head-to-head page →

Australian Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1South Melbourne4400+510
2Sydney United420206
3Sutherland Sharks4103-14
4Canberra FC4103-44
1Wests APIA4301+510
2Broadmeadow Magic4301+28
3Avondale4202-25
4Adelaide City4004-51
1Bayswater City4301+510
2Oakleigh Cannons4301+49
3Sydney Olympic4103-43
4Marconi Stallions4103-52
1Lions4301+49
2Preston Lions420207
3Wollongong Wolves420205
4South Hobart4103-43

More Australian Championship predictions

League hub
South HobartvWollongong Wolves Medium Away 1–2 2@1.65 3.754.001.65
Bayswater CityvSydney Olympic Large Home 2–1 1@1.95 1.953.803.00

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sydney United vs South Melbourne?

Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (75% chance), priced at 1.22.

Who will win Sydney United vs South Melbourne?

Sydney United win 36% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, South Melbourne 44%.

How many goals will there be in Sydney United vs South Melbourne?

Around 2.6 goals on our projection – 52% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Sydney United vs South Melbourne?

Kings Odds predicts Sydney United 1–1 South Melbourne. Total goals projected: 2.6.

When is Sydney United vs South Melbourne?

Sydney United vs South Melbourne (Australian Championship) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Sydney United Sports Centre.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.