♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 04:58 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip · Won ✓
Russia or draw
Very strong · fair odds 1.24
80%chance1.20odds9/10rating
Value
Russia to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% in the price (edge +9%)
Tips by market
ResultRussia to win ✓60% · @1.83
Double chanceRussia or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%
Uzbekistan vs Russia prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
The Friendlies brings Russia to Uzbekistan on Thursday 12 November – Pakhtakor Central Stadium hosts, kick-off 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Uzbekistan – last 5: LWWLL Latest result: they fell to South Korea 0–2 (away). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded per game.
Russia – last 5: DWWWW Latest result: they drew with Nigeria 3–3 (home). 2.8 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now. 4 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.
Form edge: Russia, with 2.2 points per game to 1.0.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Uzbekistan 1.0 – 1.9 Russia, about 2.9 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 50%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.
Markets to consider
1X2 chances: Uzbekistan 20%, draw 21%, Russia 60%.
Double chance option: Russia or draw – 80% at 1.20.
GG/NG: yes – 55% at 1.89.
Value angle: Russia to win at 1.83 – our chance 60%, the price implies 55%.
Our tip
Our pre-match tip was Russia or draw (80% chance, priced 1.20). Predicted score: Uzbekistan 0–1 Russia. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Uzbekistan20%fair 5.13 · @4.15
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.48
Russia60%fair 1.68 · @1.83
2.85Expected goals
0.97Uzbekistan xG
1.89Russia xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: Uzbekistan 1.0 – 1.9 Russia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Russia to win✓
60%
1.68
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Russia or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.89
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.71
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.21
Half-time result
Russia ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Russia / FT Russia✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Uzbekistan – last 6
LWWLLL
6 Oct
@ South Korea
0–2
L
1 Oct
vs Syria
4–1
W
24 Sep
vs Iran
3–1
W
28 Jun
@ Congo DR
1–3
L
23 Jun
@ Portugal
0–5
L
18 Jun
vs Colombia
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Russia – last 6
DWWWWL
6 Oct
vs Nigeria
3–3
D
3 Oct
vs Namibia
6–0
W
29 Sep
vs Iran
2–0
W
9 Jun
vs Trinidad and Tobago
3–0
W
5 Jun
vs Burkina Faso
3–0
W
28 May
@ Egypt
0–1
L
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uzbekistan and Russia.
Our tip is Russia or draw (80% chance), priced at 1.20.
Who will win Uzbekistan vs Russia?
Uzbekistan win 20% of the time on our model, the draw 21%, Russia 60%.
How many goals will there be in Uzbekistan vs Russia?
Around 2.9 goals on our projection – 50% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Uzbekistan vs Russia?
Kings Odds predicts Uzbekistan 0–1 Russia. Total goals projected: 2.9.
When is Uzbekistan vs Russia?
Uzbekistan vs Russia (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Central Stadium.
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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