Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional prediction
Kings Odds prediction · missedAway 0–1Small
Best tipUnder 3.5 goals75% chance · @1.21
Goals2.5 expectedOver 2.5 45% · BTTS 59%
1 · Once Caldas2.4435% chanceX · Draw2.9023% chance2 · Atletico Nacional3.0241% chance
♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 05:39 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip · Won ✓Under 3.5 goals
Strong · fair odds 1.33
75%chance1.21odds8/10rating
ValueAtletico Nacional to win @ 3.02 – our chance 41% vs 33% in the price (edge +25%)
Tips by market
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✗41% · @3.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%
Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
Fixture: Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional. Competition: Copa Colombia. Kick-off: Wednesday 11 November, 02:30 WAT. Ground: Estadio Palogrande.
Current form
Once Caldas – last 5: WWWDD Latest result: they beat Águilas Doradas 1–0 (home). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.
Atletico Nacional – last 5: WDWWW Latest result: they beat Deportivo Pereira 4–3 (home). They are scoring 2.0 per game, which defences will respect.
Head to head
Previous meeting (2 May 2026): Once Caldas 1–0 Atletico Nacional.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Once Caldas 1.2 – 1.3 Atletico Nacional, about 2.5 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 45%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Markets to consider
- 1X2 chances: Once Caldas 35%, draw 23%, Atletico Nacional 41%.
- GG/NG: yes – 59% at 1.79.
- Value angle: Atletico Nacional to win at 3.02 – our chance 41%, the price implies 33%.
Our tip
Our pre-match tip was Under 3.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.21). Predicted score: Once Caldas 1–1 Atletico Nacional. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Once Caldas35%fair 2.83 · @2.44
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @2.90
Atletico Nacional41%fair 2.42 · @3.02
2.53Expected goals
1.20Once Caldas xG
1.33Atletico Nacional xG
59%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Once Caldas 1.2 – 1.3 Atletico Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|
| Match result | Atletico Nacional to win ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | 3.02 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.79 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | 1.31 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.68 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.21 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional ✗ | 23% | 4.35 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 11.84 | – |
Recent results
Once Caldas – last 6
WWWDDW
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Atletico Nacional – last 6
WDWWWL
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional head-to-head page →
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (75% chance), priced at 1.21.
Who will win Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
Once Caldas win 35% of the time on our model, the draw 23%, Atletico Nacional 41%.
How many goals will there be in Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
Around 2.5 goals on our projection – 45% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
Kings Odds predicts Once Caldas 1–1 Atletico Nacional. Total goals projected: 2.5.
When is Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional (Copa Colombia) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Palogrande.
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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