Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka prediction
Kings Odds prediction · correct ✓Home 1–0Medium
Best tipUnder 3.5 goals83% chance · @1.22
Goals1.8 expectedOver 2.5 35% · BTTS 49%
1 · Bangladesh1.8559% chanceX · Draw3.2019% chance2 · Sri Lanka3.8021% chance
♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 05:20 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip · Lost ✗Under 3.5 goals
Very strong · fair odds 1.21
83%chance1.22odds10/10rating
ValueBangladesh to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% in the price (edge +10%)
Tips by market
ResultBangladesh to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%
Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
Sri Lanka are on the road in the SAFF Championship on Wednesday 11 November, visiting Bangladesh (Bangabandhu National Stadium) at 15:00 WAT. Bangladesh come in 1st with 6 points and Sri Lanka 3rd with 1.
Current form
Bangladesh – last 5: LLLWL Latest result: they fell to Indonesia 2–9 (away). A thin 0.7 goals per game – the goals have dried up.
Sri Lanka – last 5: WLWWW Latest result: they beat Mauritius 3–2 (away). Away form in that spell: 4 wins, 1 defeat in 5. 2.5 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now.
Form edge: Sri Lanka, with 2.5 points per game to 0.5.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Bangladesh 1.3 – 0.6 Sri Lanka, about 1.8 in total. This shapes up as a tight one – under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.
Markets to consider
- 1X2 chances: Bangladesh 59%, draw 19%, Sri Lanka 21%.
- GG/NG: no – 51% at 1.80.
- Value angle: Bangladesh to win at 1.85 – our chance 59%, the price implies 54%.
Our tip
Our pre-match tip was Under 3.5 goals (83% chance, priced 1.22). Predicted score: Bangladesh 1–0 Sri Lanka. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Bangladesh59%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.20
Sri Lanka21%fair 4.71 · @3.80
1.84Expected goals
1.28Bangladesh xG
0.56Sri Lanka xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
0–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bangladesh 1.3 – 0.6 Sri Lanka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|
| Match result | Bangladesh to win ✓ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | 1.65 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bangladesh / FT Bangladesh ✓ | 32% | 3.15 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 20% | 4.90 | – |
Recent results
Bangladesh – last 6
LLLWLL
0.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sri Lanka – last 6
WLWWWW
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bangladesh and Sri Lanka.
Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka head-to-head page →
SAFF Championship table
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (83% chance), priced at 1.22.
Who will win Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka?
Bangladesh win 59% of the time on our model, the draw 19%, Sri Lanka 21%.
How many goals will there be in Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka?
Around 1.8 goals on our projection – 35% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka?
Kings Odds predicts Bangladesh 1–0 Sri Lanka. Total goals projected: 1.8.
When is Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka?
Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka (SAFF Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Bangabandhu National Stadium.
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Maldives