Defensor Sporting vs Penarol prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
Defensor Sporting v Penarol, Primera División Apertura – Monday 16 November, 00:00 WAT at Estadio Luis Franzini. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. Defensor Sporting come in 13th with 12 points and Penarol 5th with 22 – one in the bottom half, the other in the top half.
Current form
Defensor Sporting – last 5: WDLLL Latest result: they beat Progreso 2–0 (away). Home form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Penarol – last 5: DLDLD Latest result: they drew with Wanderers 1–1 (home). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. A thin 0.5 goals per game – the goals have dried up.
Head to head
Previous meeting (24 May 2026): Defensor Sporting 0–2 Penarol. Head-to-head over 2 games: Defensor Sporting 0, Penarol 1, draws 1 – 2.0 goals per game, GG in 1.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Defensor Sporting 0.7 – 1.7 Penarol, about 2.4 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 44%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Markets to consider
- 1X2 chances: Defensor Sporting 18%, draw 19%, Penarol 63%.
- Double chance option: Penarol or draw – 82% at 1.17.
- GG/NG: yes – 51% at 2.00.
Kings Odds tip
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals (76% chance, priced 1.25). Predicted score: Defensor Sporting 0–1 Penarol. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
