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Uruguay: Primera División Apertura Kick-off

Wanderers vs Juventud prediction

WanderersLDLLL
Tue 17 Nov 2026 xG 1.26 – 1.25
JuventudDLWDL
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Small
Best tipUnder 3.5 goals74% chance · @1.28
Goals2.5 expectedOver 2.5 47% · BTTS 58%
1 · Wanderers2.2039% chanceX · Draw3.2021% chance2 · Juventud2.8039% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 04:35 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 3.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.34

74%chance1.28odds8/10rating
Value

Juventud to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% in the price (edge +10%)

Tips by market

ResultWanderers to win39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%

Wanderers vs Juventud prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Fixture: Wanderers vs Juventud. Competition: Primera División Apertura. Kick-off: Tuesday 17 November, 00:00 WAT. Table check: Wanderers are 10th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), Juventud 8th on 18 (in the top half). A gap of just 2 points – three points here could swing the table.

Current form

Wanderers – last 5: LDLLL Latest result: they fell to Lito 0–4 (away). A thin 0.7 goals per game – the goals have dried up.

Juventud – last 5: DLWDL Latest result: they drew with Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 (away). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 2 defeats in 4. A thin 0.8 goals per game – the goals have dried up. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Form edge: Juventud, with 1.3 points per game to 0.3.

Head to head

Previous meeting (31 May 2026): Juventud 2–5 Wanderers.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Wanderers 1.3 – 1.3 Juventud, about 2.5 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 47%, GG 58%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Wanderers 39%, draw 21%, Juventud 39%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 58% at 1.80.
  • Value angle: Juventud to win at 2.80 – our chance 39%, the price implies 36%.

Kings Odds tip

Our pick: Under 3.5 goals (74% chance, priced 1.28). Predicted score: Wanderers 1–1 Juventud. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Wanderers39%fair 2.53 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.20
Juventud39%fair 2.55 · @2.80
2.51Expected goals
1.26Wanderers xG
1.25Juventud xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Wanderers 1.3 – 1.3 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWanderers to win39%2.532.20
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.271.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.721.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.871.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.341.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Wanderers / FT Wanderers21%4.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.42–

Recent results

Wanderers – last 6

LDLLLD
5 Nov@ Lito0–4L
31 Oct@ Penarol1–1D
25 Octvs Progreso0–1L
17 Oct@ Racing Montevideo0–3L
10 Octvs Boston River1–3L
7 Oct@ Cerrito2–2D
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Juventud – last 6

DLWDLW
11 Nov@ Liverpool Montevideo1–1D
3 Nov@ Liverpool Montevideo0–2L
28 Oct@ Nacional Florida2–0W
24 Octvs Penarol0–0D
17 Oct@ Progreso0–2L
11 Octvs Racing Montevideo2–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Juventud v Wanderers2–5
Wanderers vs Juventud head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wanderers vs Juventud?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (74% chance), priced at 1.28.

Who will win Wanderers vs Juventud?

Wanderers win 39% of the time on our model, the draw 21%, Juventud 39%.

How many goals will there be in Wanderers vs Juventud?

Around 2.5 goals on our projection – 47% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Wanderers vs Juventud?

Kings Odds predicts Wanderers 1–1 Juventud. Total goals projected: 2.5.

When is Wanderers vs Juventud?

Wanderers vs Juventud (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.